There have been six different passing leaders in the past six seasons. And last year, the top
three passers were separated by just over 100 yards. So the passing title in 2024-25 is up for
grabs with Patrick Mahomes as the favorite. But there are decent odds with others. Let’s see
who are the favorites and where you could find some value.
The Favorites
Patrick Mahomes, Kansas City Chiefs (+500)
He is a three-time Super Bowl champion, and won the passing title in 2022 and now the favorite
to win this year. Mahomes finished sixth last year, despite receivers having led the NFL in
dropped passes. The Chiefs added more weapons for Mahomes in Marquise Brown and rookie
speedster, Xavier Worthy. Mahomes should be able to throw for even more yards with a better
core of receivers.
C.J. Stroud, Houston Texans (+700)
If you feel there won’t be a sophomore slump with C.J.Stroud, then he could be a good play at
these odds. His rookie campaign was impressive as the 22-year-old threw for 4,108 yards in 15
games. The Texans are a pass-first team which now features Stefon Diggs along with Nico
Collins, and Tank Dell. They also added RB Joe Mixon who can catch from the backfield. If
defenses can’t figure out Stroud, look for him to put up big passing numbers.
Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins (+800)
Tua Tagovailoa won this title last season with 4,624 passing yards last year and his receivers
seemed to only get better. The Dolphins added Odell Beckham Jr. to go with Tyreek Hill and
Jaylen Waddle. Throw in running backs Raheem Mostert and De’Von Achane and Miami has
arguably the most feared NFL offense.
Value Plays
Jordan Love, Green Bay Packers (+2000)
After sitting behind Aaron Rodgers for a few years Jordan Love impressed in his first season
with the Packers. He threw for 4,159 yards last year with the majority of his production coming
in the back half of the season. Green Bay has a young nucleus on offense and Love will only
get better in his second season as starter. Sprinkling a bit of cash at these odds isn’t a bad
idea.
Brock Purdy, San Francisco 49ers (+2800)
Despite being a run-heavy squad, Brock Purdy still threw for 4,280 yards with the 49ers and
should get more opportunities to throw in 2024. He has the targets, including CMC, who was a
beast coming out of the backfield. There’s no question Purdy will be given the green light to
throw the ball more often, and if he stays healthy, you could be rewarded at the end of the
season with these long odds.
Most Regular Season Passing Yards – QB Leaders Odds
Patrick Mahomes +500
CJ Stroud +700
Dak Prescott +750
Jared Goff +750
Tua Tagovailoa +800
Joe Burrow +800
Matthew Stafford +1200
Kirk Cousins +1800
Josh Allen +1800
Jordan Love +2000
Aaron Rodgers +2500
Brock Purdy +2800





