Mahomes Favored to Lead NFL in Passing Touchdowns

Last season, Dak Prescott led the NFL in passing touchdowns with 36 while Jordan Love was

second with 32. Patrick Mahomes, who led the league in this category in 2018 and 2022,

finished well back but is the favorite in 2024. But is there value outside Mahomes? We’ll break

down who has a shot, and who has an outside shot of taking this award.

Patrick Mahomes, Chiefs +550

The big story in 2023 for the Chiefs, other than winning the Super Bowl was dropped passes by

receivers. Kansas City led the NFL in drop passes with 44 but Patrick Mahomes still finished

eighth with 27 touchdowns and third in completed passes. This season, Mahomes has some

new weapons in speedy rookie Xavier Worthy and veteran Marquise ‘Hollywood’ Brown who join

the receiving core. If Mahomes’ other receivers can cut down on their drops, he should make a

serious run at leading the league in this category.

Dak Prescott DAL +700

Dak Prescott led last season with 36 touchdowns and is poised to better that mark in 2024,

considering his contract expires after the season. He has one of the best deep threats in the

league in CeeDee Lamb and the Cowboys led the league in scoring averaging almost 30 points

per game. Prescott also finished first in completed passes and Dallas didn’t make any big

changes to his receivers so expect another big season from Dak.

C.J. Stroud, Texans +1000

After making a big splash in his rookie season, Texans quarterback CJ Stroud is looking for an

even better sophomore season. Stroud found chemistry with the likes of Tank Dell and Nico

Collins throwing for 23 touchdowns and just five interceptions. But Stroud will now have an

even bigger target as Houston acquired proven No. 1, Stefon Diggs. Look for the Texans to

allow Stroud air it out, which could give him a great shot at this title.

Longshot With A Shot

Trevor Lawrence, Jaguars +2500

The Jaguars paid Trevor Lawrence big money (5-year, $275 Million) in the offseason and maybe

that will inspire him to throw more touchdowns. Jacksonville has been throwing the ball more in

each of Lawrence’s three seasons and he should get some help at receiver with rookie Brian

Thomas and veteran Gabe Davis. Lawrence has the skill set to lead the NFL in touchdowns,

and maybe 2024 is the year it happens.

Odds Most Regular Season Passing Touchdowns

Patrick Mahomes KC +550

Dak Prescott DAL +700

Brock Purdy SF +850

Joe Burrows CIN +950

Josh Allen BUF +1000

C.J. Stroud HOU +1000

Jared Goff DET +1000

Kirk Cousin ATL +1500

Jordan Love GB +1500

Tua Tagovailoa MIA +1500

Aaron Rodgers NYJ +1500

Matthew Stafford LAR +1800

Jalen Hurts PHI +2500
Baker Mayfield TB +2500