Saturday Week 16: Texans-Chiefs, Steelers-Ravens – Odds, Predictions

Houston vs. Kansas City

This could be a preview of a playoff match in the AFC, but the big question here is: why are the defending two-time Super Bowl champs underdogs at home? The answer is simple—no Patrick Mahomes. The two-time MVP injured his ankle last week and is likely to sit this one out. Check out the most recent odds!

There’s little reason for him to start on a short week and then play again on Christmas Day. As a result, Carson Wentz will get his first start of 2024.

The Texans have clinched the AFC South again after defeating the Dolphins in a game where Houston forced four turnovers. The Chiefs haven’t scored 30 points this season and have had three straight games where the total score was under 40 points. Expect a low-scoring game that could be decided by a late field goal.

Prediction: Under 39.5

Game Betting Odds

• Texans: -2
• Chiefs: +2
• Total: 39.5
• Moneyline: Houston -130, Kansas City +110

Recent Betting Trends

• The Chiefs are 6-8 ATS (against the spread) this season.
• The Texans are 6-6-2 ATS in 2024.
• The Chiefs are 1-1 ATS as underdogs this season.
• The Texans are the best UNDER team in the NFL this season at 10-4.

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Pittsburgh vs. Baltimore

While this game is for the AFC North division lead, it could also preview a potential playoff matchup. A Steelers win would wrap up the division by sweeping the Ravens, as Pittsburgh held Baltimore’s offense to just 16 points in Week 11.

However, Baltimore’s offense came alive last week against the lowly Giants, with Lamar Jackson throwing more touchdown passes (five) than incompletions (four).

A Ravens win clinches at least a wild-card spot and ties them with the Steelers for the division lead. Baltimore could catch a break as the Steelers may be without defensive star T.J. Watt, who is dealing with an injury.

Pittsburgh was also without George Pickens last week, and he may miss this week as well due to a hamstring injury. Without Pickens, the offense looked pedestrian against the Eagles, with Russell Wilson throwing for only 128 yards.

Prediction: Ravens -6.5

Game Betting Odds

• Steelers: +6
• Ravens: -6
• Total: 45
• Moneyline: Pittsburgh +230, Baltimore -280

Recent Betting Trends

• Pittsburgh is 10-4 ATS this season.
• Pittsburgh is 5-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
• Baltimore is 7-6-1 ATS in 2024.
• Mike Tomlin is 62-36-5 ATS as an underdog, the best record since 2007.
• The OVER is 11-3 in Baltimore’s 14 games.