New York Jets Super Bowl Odds

The New York Jets were called the least talented team in the NFL last year, so they made some big moves in free agency this offseason. The Jets cut some big checks, signing Le’Veon Bell to a four-year, $52.5 million contract with $35 million guaranteed and inking CJ Mosley to a five-year, $85 million deal with $51 million guaranteed. They spent almost $54 million to bring in Jamison Crowder and Henry Anderson too, committing over $200 million to bring in new talent this season. However, despite the significant talent upgrade at various position, the Jets are considered a pretender per the Super Bowl betting odds.

Odds to Win Super Bowl LIV
New York Jets +6600

The Jets have not won their division since 2002, as they have the misfortune of playing in the AFC East with the New England Patriots. The Pats are heavy favorites to win the division for the 16th time in 17 years, but the Jets are the second-best team in the division.

Offensive Outlook

For the Jets to take off in 2019, Sam Darnold will need to have a breakout sophomore season. Darnold didn’t have a bad rookie campaign, but he wasn’t great either, experiencing the typical ups and downs you see with first year quarterbacks. Dan Orlovsky has been hyping Darnold this offseason, and he at least has two decent receivers to throw to in Robby Anderson and Crowder.

The hope is that Bell will be able to take a lot of the pressure off Darnold. While Isaiah Crowell wasn’t bad as the team’s primary back last season, he doesn’t have near the upside of Bell. Bell racked up over 1,800 yards from scrimmage in 2014, 2016, and 2017, and he will be fresh after sitting out all last season. If he is focused, he will be one of the top running backs in the league again.

Coming into the season, there are some real worries along the offensive line. Guards Brian Winters and Kelechi Osemele were both injured in the first preseason game, tackle Brandon Shell has been sidelined for the last couple weeks with a knee injury, and Ryan Kalil only just started practicing with the team. That could create some real synergy problems in the first few weeks.

We’ve seen how important kickers can be with the new rules, and the Jets will go into the season with an unproven commodity after Chandler Catanzaro surprisingly retired two weeks ago. Taylor Bertolet was signed on August 11, but he has yet to kick in a regular season game. If he struggles, that could send the Jets reeling and lead to the team falling short of its NFL win total.

Defensive Outlook

The front seven for the Jets will be the strength of the team this season. They will run a 3-4 under Gregg Williams, and the defensive line depth will be a huge boost. Quinnen Williams and Steve McLendon should ensure the team always has an excellent nose tackle anchoring the line, and Henry Anderson and Leonard Williams can suck up blockers.

That should lead to CJ Mosley making plenty of plays. Mosley is a tackling machine, and he will be free to jump into the mix without fear of offensive linemen reaching the second level often. Some have criticized his contract given the role he played with the Ravens, but his skill is unquestioned. The Jets can’t afford an injury to Mosley though as there is not much talent elsewhere at linebacker.

Jamal Adams is one of the best safeties in the league, and he is the leader in the secondary. He is an excellent run stopper, continually coming down into the box to make an impact. Trumaine Johnson is a solid corner, but the second starting cornerback is a bit unsettled.

Season Projection

If everything goes according to plan, the Jets could win 9 or 10 games and become a playoff team. Bell has the talent to put the offense on his back provided he stays healthy, and his ability to catch the ball out of the backfield or in the slot should help Darnold considerably. Darnold had some of the worst receivers in the league last year, so he could make significant strides with more talent and a year of experience under his belt.

It is going to be tough to run the ball on the Jets, but the secondary is a worry. Teams with good quarterbacks will spread them out and pick them apart.

The Jets have a good chance to finish .500 or better, pushing the team over their season win total. However, even if they make the playoffs, they will probably be one and done, so don’t take a flyer on them to win their first Super Bowl in over 50 years.

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