There is only one NFL team getting points this week. The Kansas City Chiefs are receiving 4.5 points from oddsmakers when they host the Green Bay Packers on Sunday Night Football. The only reason Green Bay is a road favorite per the NFL betting odds is because Patrick Mahomes II is injured, and if Mahomes were healthy, there would be no home underdogs in the NFL for Week 8.
With that in mind, let’s turn our attention to the world of college football. There are plenty of interesting home underdogs that can play spoiler this week, and at least one team on this list will almost certainly pull off an upset.
COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 9 BETTING ODDS
HOUSTON COUGARS +13.5 VS. SMU MUSTANGS
SMU is off to its best start since the program re-emerged from the ashes of a death sentence three decades ago. The Mustangs are one of two undefeated Group of Five teams (along with Appalachian State), and Boise State’s loss to BYU last week has propelled SMU to become the frontrunner in the race for the G5 New Year’s Six slot.
The Cougars were seen as one of the best AAC teams coming into this season, but D’Eriq King and Keith Corbin decided to redshirt at the end of last month. That has significantly hampered this offense, leading to Houston free-falling in SP+. These Cougars still have some bite though, and Clayton Tune should be healthy after missing last week’s game against Connecticut with a hamstring injury. Provided Tune plays, Houston will be a live dog per the college football betting odds.
COLORADO BUFFALOES +13 VS. USC TROJANS
The Buffs have one of the most exciting offenses in the country. Steven Montez and Colorado can put up points, and they can turn this game into a shootout. USC has had a hard time stopping good passing attacks this season, and the Buffaloes boast an offense ranked in the top 30 per SP+. Laviska Shenault Jr. is a dangerous receiver if he’s healthy.
Kedon Slovis has done well for a true freshman thrust into the starting role, but his play has been inconsistent at times. That’s to be expected from a player this young and inexperienced, and that could hurt USC here. Colorado has one of the worst defenses in the Pac 12, but if Slovis and the Trojans can’t take advantage, the Men of Troy could fall to 4-4. USC is 0-3 on the road so far this season, so betting Colorado on the moneyline is an enticing option.
KANSAS STATE WILDCATS +23.5 VS. OKLAHOMA SOONERS
Chris Klieman’s Wildcats have sputtered after a strong start, but they did finally pick up a conference win last week against TCU. The Wildcats’ pass defense was excellent, and the offense did well enough to secure a 24-17 win over the Horned Frogs.
Oklahoma presents a much tougher challenge on that side of the ball. Jalen Hurts is having an incredible season, and the Sooners have the most dynamic offense in the country.
Kansas State hasn’t defeated Oklahoma in Manhattan since 1996, but the Wildcats did nip the Sooners in Norman in 2012 and 2014.
TCU HORNED FROGS +1 VS. TEXAS LONGHORNS
The Longhorns have been one of the most fortunate teams in the country this season. Texas was lucky to stay as close as it did to both LSU and Oklahoma, making those losses much more respectable, and the Longhorns needed to squeak by both Oklahoma State and Kansas to keep their hopes of a rematch with Oklahoma in the Big Ten Championship Game alive.
Texas has the 77th ranked defense in the country per SP+, while TCU is a much more balanced team considered only a few points worse than the Longhorns on a neutral field according to power ratings. The Horned Frogs are just 3-3, but it wouldn’t be much of a shock to see them overcome the CFB betting odds to beat the Longhorns on Saturday.
TEMPLE +10 VS. UCF
UCF might not be done losing conference games this year. The Knights aren’t as impressive on offense as they have been in previous seasons under freshman quarterback Dillon Gabriel, and this program has lost twice to Temple in the last four seasons.
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