College Football Betting: 2019 Heisman Trophy Update

Is the Heisman Trophy race finally settled? It very well might be after last week’s performances. Joe Burrow met Tua Tagovailoa in a high-stakes shootout and LSU won much thanks to Burrow’s magical play. Now he’s got the clear-cut inside track to the award.

JOE BURROW
ODDS TO WIN: -550
LAST WEEK’S ODDS: -120

When you take a look at the cumulative stats, the LSU quarterback has thrown for 33 touchdowns. 3200 yards and just four interceptions. He’s also rushed for 189 yards and three scores. The numbers are impressive.

Beyond that, it’s Burrow’s performance in the signature games that’s likely to win him the award. On Saturday, Burrow was 31 of 39 for 393 yards and three touchdowns with no interceptions (plus 64 rushing yards) against the Alabama Crimson Tide, leading LSU to a 46-41 win. That’s clearly moved Burrow to the top of the Heisman race without any question. Only an injury or a loss – combined with a surge from Justin Fields of Ohio State – could realistically deny him the Heisman at this point. This award is on lockdown until further notice.

JALEN HURTS
ODDS TO WIN: +1000
LAST WEEK’S ODDS: +250

The Oklahoma quarterback has thrown for 24 touchdowns and only four interceptions, completing 73 percent of passes, notching over 2,700 passing yards. Hurts has also put together 869 rushing yards and 15 rushing touchdowns. He accounted for five touchdowns – three passing, two rushing – this past weekend against Iowa State.

While the numbers look good, the Sooners have one loss on the season while LSU has not. With Burrow flourishing against Alabama, it is harder to see a path for Hurts to win the Heisman unless LSU somehow falters. Also notable: Texas is struggling this season, which means that if Oklahoma faces Texas in the Big 12 Championship Game, it won’t be as big a deal. He just lacks the signature outings against top-notch competition that Burrow has delivered.

TUA TAGOVAILOA
ODDS TO WIN: +1000
LAST WEEK’S ODDS: +375

The runner-up in last year’s Heisman race has thrown for 31 touchdowns and only three interceptions this season, with over 2,500 yards passing, 71 percent completions, and two rushing touchdowns. Tagovailoa threw for 418 yards with four touchdowns and only one interception, putting up 41 points against LSU in the game of the year in college football. Yet, the fact that Tagovailoa and Alabama lost to LSU, plus the fact that LSU quarterback Joe Burrow played even better than Tua did, makes Tagovailoa a longshot to win the Heisman at this point. This was Tua’s shot. Alabama’s schedule has been criticized all season long and it won’t help here that Tagovailoa and Alabama struggled in this contest.

JUSTIN FIELDS
ODDS TO WIN: +1000
LAST WEEK’S ODDS: +750

The Ohio State quarterback has thrown for 27 touchdowns and only one interception, over 1,850 passing yards and 68 percent completions. Fields has compiled over 340 rushing yards with 10 rushing touchdowns. He’s coming off another impressive showing as he and the Ohio State offense put up 73 points this past weekend against Maryland.

Fields, like Tua Tagovailoa and Jalen Hurts, had a really good game in which his team’s offense scored a ton of points (at least 41 for all three teams). However, because of what Joe Burrow did in Tuscaloosa, he lost ground in the Heisman race and needs something remarkable to change the debate.

The good news for Fields, relative to Tua and Hurts, is that he has high-profile games against Penn State and Michigan coming up, and then possibly an unbeaten Minnesota team on Dec. 7 in the Big Ten Championship Game. He can still use those to make his case. If Fields is awesome in all three games, he is the one guy who could make a run at Burrow. Not Hurts, not Tua.

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