Week 11 NFL Biggest Spread Moves

A smart bettor knows to monitor line movements as the week goes along. Often when the bet is made is nearly as important as who the bet is on. Here are Week 11’s biggest spread moves and the likely reasons for said moves.

DALLAS COWBOYS (-7) @ DETROIT LIONS
OPENING: DALLAS COWBOYS (-3) @ DETROIT LIONS

Matthew Stafford is expected to miss a second consecutive week. In Jeff Driskel’s Week 10 start, the Lions didn’t score a touchdown until there were just under six minutes remaining in the game. With Kerryon Johnson out for the season, the Lions will likely struggle to find any offense.

On the other side of the ball, the Lions allow 402.5 yards per game–third-worst in the league. Both Dak Prescott and Ezekiel Elliott are capable of going off and Driskel’s offense isn’t a good bet to catch up. The Lions have failed to cover in four straight games.

ARIZONA CARDINALS (+10.5) @ SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
OPENING: ARIZONA CARDINALS (+14) @ SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS

San Francisco’s undefeated season came to an end on Monday night. Not only is the aura of invincibility gone, but the Niners are having some health issues. Though starting tackles Joe Staley and Mike McGlinchey returned, the offense couldn’t get anything going once Emmanuel Sanders went down.

Sanders says he’s “going to try to play” but that could mean almost anything. George Kittle and Matt Breida are doubtful. On top of that, they’re on short rest after an emotional loss. They’ve covered one of their previous four games.

The Cardinals have covered five of their last six, including just two weeks ago against San Francisco when they lost by three as 10.5-point underdogs. It’s understandable why so much of the action is on them.

CINCINNATI BENGALS (+11.5) @ OAKLAND RAIDERS
OPENING: CINCINNATI BENGALS (+8) @ OAKLAND RAIDERS

Ryan Finley’s first start ended in a 49-13 beating at the hands of the Ravens. The Bengals are winless and the injured players who were supposed to return and contribute (A.J. Green, Cordy Glenn) remain conspicuously absent. They’ve only covered once in their last six games. 

Meanwhile, the Raiders are moving in the opposite direction. They’re on a three-cover streak and had extra time to prepare after playing in the Week 10 Thursday night game. Considering what we’ve seen most recently from these teams, bettors are understandably predicting a big Oakland win.

ATLANTA FALCONS (+4) @ CAROLINA PANTHERS
OPENING: ATLANTA FALCONS (+6.5) @ CAROLINA PANTHERS

Everyone had to revise their thoughts on Atlanta after what they did to New Orleans in Week 10. For once, they showed us that they’re capable of being a decent team. 

It’s unclear if that will continue considering the evidence from previous weeks that they’re one of the worst teams in the league. They’ll be without Devonta Freeman and Austin Hooper, which will hurt Matt Ryan on short and intermediate throws. Third-string running back Brian Hill is expected to start, which is a problem considering he’s never had more than 157 rushing yards in a season.

There’s no particular injury that has people going against Carolina. It’s just more people feel comfortable betting Ryan as an underdog after seeing the Saints game. However, it’s important to remember that before that the Falcons had five consecutive ATS losses and a backdoor cover.

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