Titans Riding Win Streak Against Kansas City

When the playoffs started, more than a few fanbases would have been happy if their team got to face the Titans. Two weeks later and they’re the hottest team in the league. They’ll look to become the third team to win the Super Bowl as a sixth seed after the 2005 Steelers and 2010 Packers.

The Chiefs trailed Houston by 24 in the second quarter but had the lead before halftime in one of the most impressive comebacks in postseason history. They’ll host the AFC Championship for the second consecutive season, though this time they’ll be the prohibitive favorites. A win would put them in the Super Bowl for the first time in 50 years.

If you’re looking for some action on the AFC Championship, here are some trends to inform your betting decisions.

TENNESSEE TITANS (+7.5) @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

The Titans have covered in three straight games. They’re 7-3 ATS on the road, including the playoffs. As road underdogs, they’re 4-2 ATS. Since 2017, the Titans are 3-1 ATS as road underdogs of 7.5 or more. 

The Chiefs have six covers and a push in their last seven games. They’re 9-3-1 ATS against the AFC. Since 1991, they’re 2-9 ATS in home playoff games. They’ve covered five of their last six as home favorites of 7.5 or more, including four straight. They have one cover in their last five home games against Tennessee.

TOTAL: 53

Tennessee had 10 overs this season, which were the most of any playoff team.  However, both of their playoff games this season went under.

Eight of Kansas City’s 11 non-division games went over. Six of their nine home games also went over. Seventeen of their last 20 games as favorites of 7.5 or more went under.

Three of the last four meetings between these two went under.

TENNESSEE MONEY LINE: +280
KANSAS CITY MONEY LINE: -350

The Titans are 7-3 on the road this season, including playoffs. They’re 5-3 as underdogs and 8-4 outside of the AFC South. They’ve won three of their last four as road underdogs of 7.5 or more. They’ve won four straight against Kansas City.

The Chiefs are 11-3 as favorites and 6-3 at home, including the playoffs. They’re 24-6 in their last 30 games as home favorites of 7.5 or more.

PROPS

Derrick Henry is averaging 140.25 rushing yards per postseason game in his career. He went over 150 rushing yards in three of four postseason games, including against the Chiefs in 2017.

The Titans allowed nine touchdowns to tight ends in the regular season, which was tied for fourth-most in the league. Travis Kelce has a touchdown in two of four career meetings against Tennessee.

Patrick Mahomes averages 2.6 passing touchdowns per playoff game. He threw three touchdown passes in his lone matchup with the Titans. He has never thrown an interception either in the postseason or against Tennessee.

In seven playoff games since 2015, the Chiefs have only had one running back with more than 70 rushing yards. Running backs are averaging 60.5 rushing yards per game against Tennessee in the playoffs.

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