2024 Cy Young Odds: National League

By Luis March 25, 2024

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Over the last four seasons the NL Cy Young winner has been a longshot. If you look at the last

5 winners of this award, each pitcher had at least 10 wins and an ERA of 2.43 or better. Blake

Snell came out of nowhere to capture his second Cy Young last season at long odds. So could

we see another longshot win in 2024?

Usual Suspects

Despite winning 20 games Spencer Stride finished 4th in Cy Young voting in 2023 but he is now

the clear cut favorite to win it this season. Strider led the league in wins, strikeouts and his

36.8% K% was the best in MLB by a wide margin. He also set a league record for the faster

pitcher to get to 100 strikeouts, doing it in just 61 innings. The 25 year old needs to get his ERA

under control (3.86 in 2023) in order to chase down his first Cy Young award.

Zack Wheeler had 13 wins last season, 1.08 WHIP and a 3.61 ERA which was higher than his

2.78 the year before. He does have the stuff to lower his ERA and if he can, he’ll have a shot at

his first Cy Young. This is a contract season for Wheeler and becomes an unrestricted free

agent at the end of 2024 so expect his level of play to increase as he chases a huge payday

next year.

At most books, Justin Steele opened last season at +20000 at some sportsbooks and finished

with a 16-5 record. The 28-year old had a strong season and was in Cy Young consideration

but the Cubs faded down the stretch, hurting his chances and ultimately finished fifth in voting.

Still, Steele appears ready to take his game to the next level.

Sonny Gray finished 8-8 with the Twins and was second, behind Gerrit Cole in Cy Young voting

over in the American League. The 34-year old joined the Cardinals in the offseason and if this

team can start hitting again, Gray can offer the kind of pitching that gives his key a chance in

every start.

2023 Blake Snell (SD) +3500

2022 Sandy Alcantara (MIA) +1600

2021 Corbin Burnes (MIL) +4000

2020 Trevor Bauer (CIN) +2000

2019 Jacob deGrom (NYM) +350

2018 Jacob deGrom (NYM) +2500

2017 Max Scherzer (WAS) +350

2016 Max Scherzer (WAS) +10000

2015 Jake Arrieta (CHC) +4000

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