Astros vs. Mets Preview & Odds

Two of the hottest teams in baseball will clash tonight as the Houston Astros visit the New York Mets at Citi Field.

The Houston Astros are just now catching fire, Ronel Blanco has been exceptional on the mound all season. The Astros (40-40) have surged with a 15-7 record in June, reaching .500 for the first time this season. The Mets (39-39) are back in the playoff race with a 15-6 record in June.

Opening Odds

Bet Type	Odds
Run Line	Houston -1.5 (+145)
	New York +1.5 (-170)
Moneyline	Houston -120
	New York +100
Over/Under	Over 8.5 (+100)
	Under 8.5 (-120)

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Spread and Over/Under Analysis

• Houston: 11-3 SU when Blanco starts
• New York: 8-7 SU with Quintana on the mound
• Astros’ Run Line: Covered in 15 of last 22 games (+9.45 Units / 36% ROI)
• Game Totals:

• Houston: Under 8.5 in seven of last nine games
• New York: Over 8.5 in seven of last nine games

Both teams have turned their seasons around largely due to improved offense. The Mets are averaging 7.8 runs per game over their last 10 outings while allowing four runs per game.

On the other hand, the Astros have excelled both offensively and defensively, holding opponents to two runs or less in seven of their last nine games.

Pitching Matchup

Ronel Blanco (Houston Astros)

• Season Highlights:

• Opened with a no-hitter against Toronto
• Nearly repeated the feat against Detroit on June 16 (7 no-hit innings)
• Opponents’ Batting Average: .164
• Opponents’ OPS: .551
• Hits Allowed per Nine Innings: 5.1
• Season Stats:

• Record: 8-2
• ERA: 2.34
• WHIP: 0.969

Jose Quintana (New York Mets)

• Season Stats:

• Record: 3-5
• ERA: 4.58
• FIP: 4.89
• WHIP: 1.322
• Recent Performance:

• Increased walks and decreased strikeouts
• Indications of aging and performance decline

Same-Game Parlay (SGP)

1. Astros Moneyline
2. Under 8.5 Total Runs
3. Blanco Under 5.5 Hits Allowed

These bets are well-correlated, considering Blanco’s exceptional performance and the Astros’ recent defensive prowess.

Key Trends

• Head-to-Head:

• Houston: 11-3 SU with Blanco starting
• Mets: 8-7 SU with Quintana starting
• Totals Trends:

• Houston: Under 8.5 in seven of last nine games
• New York: Over 8.5 in seven of last nine games

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Bet Type	Odds	Analysis
Run Line	HOU -1.5 (+145)	High value bet considering Houston’s form
Moneyline	HOU -120	Favorable matchup for Houston with Blanco
Over/Under	Under 8.5 (-120)	Likely low-scoring game given Blanco’s stats

View current game lines + props here

The Astros, with Ronel Blanco leading the charge, have a clear pitching advantage over the Mets.

Given Blanco’s dominance this season and the Astros’ recent form, backing Houston to win outright and betting on a low-scoring game are prudent choices.