UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 Parlay

Belal Muhammad will look to avenge an earlier loss to Vicente Luque this weekend. Luque and Muhammad are ranked No. 5 and No. 6 in the UFC Welterweight division, and the winner may get his first title shot. Everyone is looking ahead to a potential showdown between Kamaru Usman and Khamzat Chimaev, but the winner of this fight should get the next shot at Usman considering how long Luque and Muhammad have been in the UFC.

UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 will be held on Saturday, April 16, 2022, from the UFC Apex training center in Enterprise, Nevada. The prelims will start at 5:30 p.m. ET on ESPN Plus, while the main card will get underway at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN and ESPN Plus.

UFC on ESPN: Luque vs. Muhammad 2 Picks

Belal Muhammad to Win by Decision +225 vs. Vicente Luque

The first fight between Belal Muhammad and Vicente Luque happened over five years ago at UFC 205. Luque knocked out Muhammad in the first round with a flurry of punches, and that has led to him being favored in the rematch by the MMA betting odds. Luque has certainly been impressive with six Performance of the Night or Fight of the Night bonuses in his last eight fights, and a 7-1 record in those bouts.

Muhammad relies on his technical skill to get wins. It isn’t glamorous, but it’s been effective as he is 20-3-1 in his career with 15 of his victories coming by decision. His only loss within the distance was the knockout by Luque, and he has wanted to right that defeat since his opponent’s hand was raised all those years ago. It’s worth backing Muhammad to get a decision win on Saturday night.

Miguel Baeza -172 vs. Andre Fialho

Although Miguel Baeza has lost his last two fights, he is 10-2 as a professional MMA fighter. He won his first three bouts in the UFC before he had to take a step up in competition, and that resulted in losses to Santiago Ponzinibbio and Khaos Williams. Baeza shouldn’t have the same trouble with Andre Fialho.

Fialho lost his UFC debut to Michel Pereira at UFC 270. He was a knockout specialist in smaller promotions, but that power hasn’t translated with the step up in competition. That favors the more experienced Baeza, and this is a nice price.

Mayra Bueno Silva -500 vs. Yanan Wu

There is a lot to like about Mayra Bueno Silva despite her 2-2-1 record in the UFC. She has proven to be a solid grappler and is strong on the ground with two submission victories. Silva would have won her bout with Montana De La Rosa if she didn’t have a point deducted in the first round, and her two losses both went the distance.

Meanwhile, Yanan Wu is 1-3 in the UFC. Her only win came by a submission over three years ago, and she has not been very active with just four fights in four-plus years with the UFC. There are also concerns about her stamina and her ability to fight on American soil as all of her previous bouts have been in China, Russia, or the United Arab Emirates.

Parlay Payout: $100 to win $516.74

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