UFC St. Louis: Lewis vs. Nascimento Betting

The UFC makes a triumphant return to St. Louis, Missouri, after nearly six years, promising a thrilling night of fights at UFC on ESPN 56. Headlining the event is a heavyweight main event clash between former title contender Derrick Lewis and emerging prospect Rodrigo Nascimento.

Let’s delve into the background of these two fighters before examining the betting odds for Lewis vs. Nascimento.

Event Details

• UFC St Louis: Lewis vs. Nascimento
• Fight:: Derrick Lewis vs. Rodrigo Nascimento
• Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024
• Location: Enterprise Center in St. Louis, MO
• Time: Prelims (4:00 p.m. ET), Main Card (7:00 p.m. ET)
• How to Watch: Prelims (ESPN+), Main Card (ESPN+, ESPN)
• Odds: Via BetOnline

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Derrick Lewis (-139): A Heavyweight Force

• Record: 27-12-0-1
• Ranking: No. 12 in the UFC heavyweight division
• Recent Form: 1-4 in the last five fights
• Key Stats:

• Holds the UFC record for most knockout wins in the heavyweight division (14)
• Strikes with power but lacks volume (2.43 significant strikes per minute)
• Vulnerable defensively, absorbing 2.48 strikes per minute

Looks to finish fights early with power shots; struggles with grappling against well-rounded opponents

Rodrigo Nascimento (+119): The Rising Grappler

• Record: 11-1-0-1
• Ranking: No. 15 in the UFC heavyweight division
• Recent Form: 3 consecutive wins
• Key Stats:

• Known for grappling, with six career submission victories
• Active striker (4.31 significant strikes per minute) but defensively vulnerable
• Effective wrestler, averaging 1.20 takedowns per 15 minutes

Utilizes striking to set up takedowns; aims to control the fight on the ground

Head To Head Fighter Stats

Derrick Lewis	Fighter	Rodrigo Nascimento
27-12-0	Record	11-1-0
6′ 3″	Height	6′ 2″
265 lbs	Weight	264 lbs
79″	Reach	80″
Orthodox	Stance	Orthodox
2.43	Sig Strk LPM	4.31
52.62	Sig Strk Acc	55.26
0.53	Takedown Average	1.20
26.47	Takedown Accuracy	33.33
0.00	Submission Average	0.72

Betting Breakdown

Derrick Lewis:

• Odds: -139
• Strengths: Devastating knockout power, experience in the Octagon
• Weaknesses: Limited volume striking, susceptibility to takedowns
• Prediction: Victory via knockout; strong betting favorite

Rodrigo Nascimento:

• Odds: +119
• Strengths: Strong grappling skills, active striking
• Weaknesses: Defensive vulnerabilities, tendency to absorb strikes
• Prediction: Potential for a five-round decision or submission victory; underdog with value in betting

Other Scheduled Fights at UFC St Louis:

• Derrick Lewis Vs Rodrigo Nascimento (Heavyweight – Main Event)
• Joaquin Buckley Vs Nursulton Ruziboev (Welterweight)
• Alonzo Menifield Vs Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight)
• Diego Ferreira Vs Mateusz Rębecki (Lightweight)
• Alex Caceres Vs Sean Woodson (Featherweight)
• Waldo Cortes-Acosta Vs Robelis Despaigne (Heavyweight)
• Chase Hooper Vs Viacheslav Borshchev (Lightweight)
• Terrance McKinney Vs Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight)
• Tabatha Ricci Vs Tecia Pennington (Women’s Strawweight)
• Billy Goff Vs Trey Waters (Welterweight)
• Charles Johnson Vs Jake Hadley (Flyweight)
• Jared Gooden Vs Kevin Jousset (Welterweight)
• JJ Aldrich Vs Veronica Hardy (Women’s Flyweight)

View Fight Odds at BetOnline