College Football Betting: 2019 Heisman Trophy Update 11/27/19

Joe Burrow is almost certainly going to win the Heisman Trophy. In previous years, there was some suspense with the announcement, but Burrow’s play has entrenched him as a massive favorite per the Heisman Trophy betting odds. He was -125 to win the award just a month ago, but an incredible night in Tuscaloosa will make it very difficult for someone to beat him for the prize. This is the last week of the regular season, and he has already made a strong case.

ODDS TO WIN THE 2019 HEISMAN TROPHY

JOE BURROW -3000
JUSTIN FIELDS +800
CHASE YOUNG +1400
JALEN HURTS +2000

Burrow had smashed all of LSU’s single season passing records. He has completed 78.9 percent of his passes for 4,014 yards with 41 touchdowns and six interceptions. Burrow is set to break the national record for completion percentage in a season, and he has not had a poor performance in any game this season.

His arm has led LSU to four victories over top ten teams, and he has thrown for 300 yards or more in nine of 11 games. His worst performance all year came against Auburn when he completed 32 of 42 passes for 321 yards with one touchdown and one interception, and his quarterback rating was at least 185 in every other game.

Quarterback is the one position that has continually vexed LSU. The Tigers haven’t had a reliable quarterback in decades, and Burrow was not the answer last season. He completed just 57.8 percent of his passes and was averaging 7.6 YPA then with 16 touchdowns and five interceptions, so his improvement has been remarkable. The only close comparison is Carson Palmer during his senior season in 2002, and Palmer went on to win the Heisman Trophy.

Justin Fields is the second favorite to win the Heisman Trophy. I have been calling Fields one of the best bets all season long, but there is no longer much value in the dual threat quarterback after mistakes led to Ohio State only beating Penn State by 11 points last week.

Fields fumbled three times in that game, and this was a game that every voter watched. It was a noon kickoff without any real competition in the time slot, so he won’t get the benefit of the doubt from those that peruse box scores. He did complete 16 of 22 passes for 188 yards and two touchdowns, and he did add 68 rushing yards, but that likely won’t be enough to sway voters.

The Georgia transfer does have fantastic numbers though. He has completed 69.4 percent of his passes and is averaging 9.3 YPA with 33 touchdowns against just one interception. Fields is a fantastic running threat too with 445 yards and 10 touchdowns, but his teammate has a better chance to win the Heisman Trophy with his play on the field.

Chase Young is the best defensive player in football by a mile. He has stormed into the Heisman Trophy race despite missing two games due to the NCAA’s frivolous enforcement policies, and Young has a lot of things going for him.

Young has 16.5 sacks this year with seven forced fumbles in just nine games. He has risen to the occasion when it matters the most with four sacks against Wisconsin and three sacks against Penn State, and Young might have 20 sacks already if he would have been allowed to take part in Ohio State’s blowouts of Rutgers and Maryland. His play has made this the best defense in the nation, and Young can make one final statement on Saturday.

A dominant performance against Michigan coupled with an underwhelming performance from Burrow in the last two games could lead to Young pulling off the improbable upset. It’s unlikely it happens, but he is the only other players with a real chance to beat out Burrow for the award.

Jalen Hurts has some of the most impressive numbers in the country. However, Oklahoma’s struggles for the last month have taken him out of the race. The Sooners have won their last three games by a combined eight points after losing to Kansas State, so it doesn’t matter if he leads Oklahoma to blowout victories over Oklahoma State and Baylor in his last two outings.

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