College Football Betting: ACC Coastal Team Win Totals

The next college football season is two months away. Summer training camp is just under two months away. The activity preceding Week 1 is just around the corner. With this in mind, let’s look at win totals for college football teams. In this case, let’s look at four teams from the ACC Coastal Division, which figures to have a two-team race with other teams trying to play spoiler.

North Carolina Tar Heels
Over-Under: 10 wins

The Tar Heels have quarterback Sam Howell coming back and are very deep at wide receiver. There have been a few key losses such as running back Javonte Williams, but the most important players from the 2020 roster have returned. Howell is a possible projected No. 1 pick in the 2022 NFL draft. If he is as good as the hype says he is, North Carolina should be in for a big year, and going over the 10-win total is very realistic. The worry about picking the over with UNC is that the Tar Heels are not a proven national power. They were roughed up by Notre Dame last year and did struggle on defense. They will need to make specific improvements on defense if they want to take the next step. Yet, last year’s team was very young, and it got a taste of playing with pressure and high expectations. This team might have more of a chance to brace for what is coming. The over is the slightly better choice, but this is a close call.

Miami Hurricanes
Over-Under: 9.5 wins

The Hurricanes received a gigantic boost when quarterback D’Eriq King chose to return for another season. This gives Miami the ability to become a high-end team in 2021. However, King did suffer an injury in the team’s 2020 bowl game, so his level of health (and more precisely, mobility) is in question heading into training camp and the start of the new regular season. What really matters in terms of Miami’s over-under total is that the Hurricanes play Alabama in the season opener and will be a likely underdog against North Carolina on the road. If you assume that Miami will lose those two games, the Hurricanes would have to go 10-0 in their other 10 games to hit the over. That puts Miami in a narrow box. The under is the better play here.

Virginia Cavaliers
Over-Under: 6 wins

The Virginia Cavaliers do not have a high-powered offense. They fit the description of a team which isn’t going to blow out opponents. Yet, because they have such a good defense under head coach Bronco Mendenhall, they will very rarely get blown out. It is easy to see why six wins (a .500 record) is the over-under here. Given that Mendenhall has been slightly better than what most people expected at Virginia – winning the program’s first-ever ACC Coastal Division championship a few seasons ago – it is a smarter play to predict that UVA will overachieve rather than underachieve. The over is the better move.

Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Over-Under: 5 wins

The Yellow Jackets have now had two seasons in which to turn over their roster under new head coach Geoff Collins. They ran a very different offensive system under previous coach Paul Johnson and needed time to execute the transition. Being in year three of this transition process should enable Georgia Tech’s offense to function more smoothly. The over makes a lot of sense here, given the relatively low number.