Fields Now Favored To Win 2021 Heisman Trophy

While Trevor Lawrence opened up as a favorite to win the Heisman Trophy, it’s now Justin Fields who is favored to win the award. Is Fields the best bet? Is there value with Lawrence? Let’s take a closer look at the early odds for the 2021 Heisman Trophy.

Justin Fields: +400

The big news in the Heisman odds for 2020 is that whereas Clemson’s Trevor Lawrence had been the betting favorite, it is now Fields who is in the top spot. What is accounting for this? It could simply be the sense that there is now a greater chance that the college football season will be played. Some people might have been hedging their bets on that point, but might now be more confident that the season will go on. In the Fiesta Bowl – last season’s College Football Playoff semifinal between Clemson and Ohio State – Fields outplayed Lawrence for most of the game. He threw an interception on Ohio State’s last drive, but the interception was the fault of receiver Chris Olave, who turned the wrong way. Another reason for Fields moving to the top spot could be that the presence of Travis Etienne in the Clemson backfield could take some statistical production away from Lawrence. It’s not a commentary on Lawrence as a player, but on the fact that he might hand off more than he needs to pass this upcoming season. At any rate, Fields is now the odds-on favorite, and that’s a notable story.

Trevor Lawrence: +475

The tension with Travis Etienne in the Clemson backfield is the great variable in the Heisman odds listings right now. Some people will conclude what was noted above, namely, that Etienne will get a lot of carries and therefore reduce Lawrence’s number of passes, passing yards, and passing touchdowns. Lawrence and Etienne could split their statistical production down the middle, enabling Justin Fields to accumulate massive stats and walk away with the award. That is one way of looking at the situation.

The other way of looking at the matter is that Lawrence and Etienne could both be spectacular players in a hugely productive Clemson offense. The might split statistics, but they might both be so prolific and impressive that they will benefit – not suffer – from the split-production dynamic at Clemson. If it is clear that Lawrence makes Etienne and Clemson better, he will benefit from his situation.

Spencer Rattler: +1000

The Oklahoma quarterback is on the short list for one reason: Oklahoma quarterbacks have been Heisman finalists in each of the last four seasons: Baker Mayfield twice, Kyler Murray in 2018, and Jalen Hurts last year. Based on reputation, there is an expectation that Oklahoma coach Lincoln Riley will create another Heisman finalist quarterback. However, Mayfield was an experienced player with previous collegiate experience. Murray and Hurts were in the same position. Rattler does not have prior college experience, so that will limit his ceiling for growth and his Heisman chances.

Sam Ehlinger: +1200

The Texas quarterback has to beat Spencer Rattler and Oklahoma to have any chance of winning the Heisman. If Ehlinger does that, Texas needs to win the Big 12 championship for the signal-caller to finish ahead of Fields and Lawrence or any other surprising player who makes an unexpected Heisman push. Texas has to win the Big 12 title for the first time since 2009 in order for Ehlinger to get the boost in the Heisman voting he will need.

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