Heisman Trophy Betting Odds Update 11/19/19
At this point, Joe Burrow would probably need to be implicated in a scandal to lose the Heisman Trophy. Burrow is set to become the first LSU player in six decades to win the award and the first quarterback in school history to claim the Heisman. His Heisman Trophy betting odds have dropped like a rock since LSU beat Alabama for the first time in eight years two weeks ago, and he is the biggest favorite we have seen this late in the season in quite some time. Jalen Hurts and Justin Fields are the only two players left that can overtake Burrow, but they won’t catch him unless he completely collapses down the stretch.
ODDS TO WIN THE HEISMAN TROPHY
JOE BURROW -2000
JALEN HURTS +900
JUSTIN FIELDS +1000
Burrow has already set numerous school records at LSU. The Ohio State transfer broke the single season passing yards and passing touchdown records last week against Ole Miss, and he has five of the eight most prolific single games in Tigers’ history in terms of passing yards. He has thrown for 3,687 yards and 38 touchdowns this year, and his completion percentage of 78.6 would be an NCAA record if he kept it up.
He has yet to have a bad game in this offense, and Burrow could light up the scoreboard against Arkansas this week. The Razorbacks have the worst defense in the SEC, and LSU is favored by an incredible 43.5 points against Arkansas. That’s the biggest point spread in an SEC game since the late 1970s.
It’s unlikely that Burrow has a poor performance against Texas A&M too. The Aggies have allowed elite quarterbacks to take advantage of their secondary this year, and Texas A&M won’t have much time to prepare for LSU after facing Georgia this week. Burrow’s only potential hiccup could be in the SEC Championship Game when the Tigers face Georgia in Atlanta, but he will have likely done enough to win the award by that point.
Hurts is the second favorite per the Heisman Trophy betting odds. He has posted incredible numbers through 10 games, but Oklahoma’s marginal resume hurts his case. The Sooners lost to Kansas State a few weeks ago, and they needed to hold off a late comeback attempt from Iowa State two weeks ago. Hurts led the biggest comeback in school history last week against Baylor, but that didn’t do anything to help his case given the public perception surrounding this team.
It’s hard to see a way he wins the award given Oklahoma’s lack of quality opponents down the stretch. The Sooners will face TCU and Oklahoma State prior to the Big 12 Championship game, and most voters won’t bat an eye at the result no matter what kind of numbers Hurts puts up.
Justin Fields does have an outside chance to win the Heisman Trophy. I have repeatedly trumped up Fields’ candidacy over the last two months, and Ohio State’s remaining schedule gives him an outside shot. Fields might be the best player on the best team in the country, and the Buckeyes will be on center stage these next two weeks with games against Penn State and Michigan.
The Nittany Lions and Wolverines are the two best defenses Fields has faced this season, and Ryan Day will likely let Fields loose for the first time all year. He has limited Fields by not allowing him to throw more than 25 passes a game yet this season, but he probably needs to throw more than that against two stingy run defenses. Fields will also run more in those games, showing off his mobility.
Of course, we have to mention Tua Tagovailoa. The favorite to win the Heisman Trophy throughout September and most of last year suffered a devastating injury last week against Mississippi State, and he has played his last game for Alabama. Tagovailoa was seen as the No. 1 pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, but the injury throws that designation up in the air, and the only thing that matters for Tagovailoa is getting back to 100 percent. Here’s hoping the best quarterback in modern Alabama history makes a full recovery.
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