Bills vs. Ravens Odds & Preview for SNF Week 4

The Buffalo Bills are gearing up for a significant challenge as they travel to Baltimore to face the Ravens on Sunday Night Football.

Following an impressive win over the Jaguars, expect the Ravens to utilize a grinding strategy to control possessions and keep Josh Allen’s offense off the field.

Matchup Overview

Game Details

• Teams: Buffalo Bills vs. Baltimore Ravens
• Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024
• Location: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, MD

Opening Odds at BetOnline

Bet Type	Odds
Spread	Ravens -1.5 (-115)
Moneyline	Buffalo +100 / Baltimore -120
Over/Under	Over 46.5 / Under 46.5

Bills vs. Ravens Predictions

Early Spread Lean

Ravens -1.5 (-115)

Analysis

The initial line for this highly anticipated matchup opened at Ravens -1.5, a figure that remained stable even after the Bills’ dominant 47-10 victory over the Jaguars. As of Tuesday morning, the Ravens still hold the spread at -1.5, with some sportsbooks moving to -2.

Baltimore showcased its strength in a 28-25 win over the Cowboys in Week 3. While the final score suggests a close game, the Ravens led 28-6 entering the fourth quarter, demonstrating their control for most of the match. They amassed over 450 yards at an impressive 7.9 yards per play, dominating time of possession for nearly 35 minutes and converting 3-for-3 in the red zone.

Defensive Matchup

Buffalo’s defense has been strong early in the season, but they may struggle against Baltimore’s ground attack. While they’ve held opponents from establishing the run due to large leads, they’re allowing 4.7 yards per carry, ranking 27th in EPA allowed per carry.

With Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry poised to exploit this weakness, the Ravens can effectively control the game clock and limit Josh Allen’s opportunities.

Analysis

The initial total for this matchup was set at 45.5 points before the Bills’ explosion against Jacksonville. As of now, the Week 4 Over/Under stands at 46.5.

With Baltimore’s run-heavy strategy likely to eat up clock and reduce possessions, the game is expected to feature many short gains. While the Ravens experienced a late-game collapse against the Cowboys that impacted the Under, their defense remains one of the toughest tests for Allen and the Bills this season.

Buffalo’s offense has shifted from a big-play strategy to a more balanced approach, reflected in Allen’s decrease in intended air yards per pass from 8.7 in 2023 to just 6.6 in 2024. Given both teams’ tendencies to minimize pace and use clock management, the Under may be a solid consideration.

Historical Context

Previous matchups have trended towards the Under, with their last three meetings falling below totals of 44, 50, and 52 points, indicating a pattern that may continue.

As the Bills face a challenging Ravens team, expect Baltimore’s ground game to dictate the pace of play and keep Josh Allen’s offense on the sidelines. Look for the Ravens to cover the spread and the total to lean towards the Under in what promises to be an intriguing Sunday Night Football clash.