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The NFL Draft order went all wayward this weekend with the Giants and Raiders grabbing unexpected victories.
Currently, the New England Patriots have the No. 1 overall pick, but things could change depending on what happens in Week 18.
BetOnline.ag has created a couple of props for the Pats should they end up with the top selection, including which team they’ll trade it to and who they’ll take if they keep it.
NFL Draft odds are subject to change and will be updated in real-time on this page: https://betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/nfl-regular-season/specials
| What will Patriots do with No. 1 pick? | |
| Draft Travis Hunter | -250 |
| Trade Pick | +200 |
| Draft QB and Trade Drake Maye | +525 |
| Which team will Patriots trade No. 1 pick to? | |
| Raiders | +200 |
| Giants | +250 |
| Titans | +400 |
| Browns | +500 |
| Jets | +500 |
| Which player will be drafted No. 1 overall? | |
| Shedeur Sanders | -160 |
| Cam Ward | +150 |
| Travis Hunter | +375 |
| Abdul Carter | +5000 |
| Kelvin Banks Jr. | +5000 |
| Mykel Williams | +5000 |
| Will Campbell | +5000 |
| Jalen Milroe | +6600 |
| Jaxson Dart | +8000 |
The AFC North, NFC North and the NFC South are still up for grabs. Although, as you’ll see below, the Ravens and Bucs are massive favorites to win their division.
There is also one spot open in the AFC playoffs. It will either be the Broncos, Dolphins or Bengals.
I can calculate the odds of each team making the playoffs based on parlays.
- If the Broncos win, they are in. We can calculate that on a moneyline. They are -500 to beat the Chiefs on Sunday, which calculates to 83.3%
- For the Dolphins to get in, they need to win and have the Broncos lose. So that is a parlay which calculates to an 11.2% chance for the Dolphins.
- For the Bengals to get in, they need to win and have the Broncos and Dolphins lose. So that is a parlay which calculates to 5.5%.
In this email, I’ll be showing how the odds to win the Super Bowl, Conference and Divisions have changed at BetOnline since Week 17.
Super Bowl Odds
Movement Notes:
- The Chiefs are Super Bowl favorites still.
- I have put arrows next to each team’s current odds.
- A down arrow (↓) means a team’s odds have improved.
- An up arrow (↑) means a team’s odds have worsened.
- Risers:
- Buccaneers from 50/1 to 35/1.
- Chargers from 45/1 to 35/1.
- Fallers:
- Steelers from 35/1 to 50/1.
- Falcons from 150/1 to 300/1.
- The Colts and Seahawks are now off the board.
Super Bowl LIX odds are subject to change and will be updated in real-time on this page: https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/nfl-futures/super-bowl-futures.
Note: Arrows down meant the odds got shorter and the team’s odds improved to win the Super Bowl. Arrow up, means team’s odds got longer to win the Super Bowl.
| Super Bowl 2025 Winner LIX | 12/23/24 | 12/31/24 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 4/1 | 13/4 ↓ (+325) |
| Detroit Lions | 9/2 (+450) | 9/2 (+450) |
| Buffalo Bills | 17/4 (+425) | 11/2 ↑ (+550) |
| Baltimore Ravens | 6/1 | 7/1 ↑ |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 13/2 (+650) | 15/2 ↑ (+750) |
| Minnesota Vikings | 10/1 | 17/2 ↓ (+850) |
| Green Bay Packers | 14/1 | 16/1 ↑ |
| Los Angeles Rams | 25/1 | 25/1 |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 45/1 | 35/1 ↓ |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 50/1 | 35/1 ↓ |
| Washington Commanders | 40/1 | 35/1 ↓ |
| Houston Texans | 40/1 | 50/1 ↑ |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 35/1 | 50/1 ↑ |
| Denver Broncos | 75/1 | 66/1 ↓ |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| Miami Dolphins | 250/1 | 200/1 ↓ |
| Atlanta Falcons | 150/1 | 300/1 ↑ |
| Indianapolis Colts | 400/1 | OTB ↑ |
| Seattle Seahawks | 125/1 | OTB ↑ |
Conference Odds
NFL Conference odds are subject to change and will be updated in real-time on this page: https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/nfl-futures/conference-futures.
A few conference change notes:
- Risers:
- Buccaneers from 20/1 to 14/1.
- Fallers:
- Falcons from 50/1 to 150/1.
- The Colts and Seahawks are now off the board.
Note: Arrows down means the odds got shorter and the team’s odds improved to win the Conference. Arrow up, means team’s odds got longer to win the Conference.
| AFC Championship Winner | 12/23/24 | 12/31/24 |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7/4 (+175) | 7/5 ↓ (+140) |
| Buffalo Bills | 2/1 | 13/5 ↑ (+260) |
| Baltimore Ravens | 3/1 | 13/4 ↑ (+325) |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 20/1 | 16/1 ↓ |
| Houston Texans | 20/1 | 20/1 |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 18/1 | 22/1 ↑ |
| Denver Broncos | 35/1 | 33/1 ↓ |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 50/1 | 50/1 |
| Miami Dolphins | 100/1 | 100/1 |
| Indianapolis Colts | 200/1 | OTB ↑ |
| NFC Championship Winner | 12/23/24 | 12/31/24 |
| Detroit Lions | 37/20 (+185) | 2/1 ↑ |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 5/2 (+250) | 7/2 ↑ (+350) |
| Minnesota Vikings | 5/1 | 15/4 ↓ (+375) |
| Green Bay Packers | 6/1 | 13/2 ↑ (+650) |
| Los Angeles Rams | 14/1 | 10/1 ↓ |
| Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 20/1 | 14/1 ↓ |
| Washington Commanders | 18/1 | 16/1 ↓ |
| Atlanta Falcons | 50/1 | 150/1 ↑ |
| Seattle Seahawks | 60/1 | OTB ↑ |
Divisional Odds
A few divisions had some changes:
- Five of the divisions have been clinched.
- The AFC North is a simple parlay. The Ravens have to lose and the Steelers have to win for the Steelers to win the Division. The odds of that happening are 1/25 or 4%, which gives the Ravens a 96% chance of winning the division.
- The winner of the NFC North is the winner of the Vikings/Lions game, so that is a moneyline.
- The winner of the NFC South is a simple parlay as well. The Bucs need to lose to the Saints and the Falcons need to beat the Panthers. The odds of both of those happening are 11%, which gives the Bucs an 89% chance of winning the division.
NFL Divisional odds are subject to change and will be updated in real-time on this page: https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/nfl-futures/division-futures.
Note: Arrows down means the odds got shorter and the team’s odds improved to win the Division. Arrow up, means team’s odds got longer to win the Division.
| NFC North Division Winner | 12/23/24 | 12/31/24 |
| Detroit Lions | 4/17 ↑ (-425) | 20/29 ↑ (-145) |
| Minnesota Vikings | 3/1 ↓ | 5/4 ↓ (+125) |
Here are notes for each award along with some changes from the previous week.
- MVP
- Josh Allen is still the favorite and is a big favorite at -350 (2/7), but Lamar Jackson closed the gap again.
- Joe Burrow went from off the board to third at 20/1.
- Jared Goff and Sam Darnold are now off the board.
- Defensive Player of the Year
- TJ Watt is still the favorite but Patrick Surtain has closed the gap significantly.
- Myles Garrett from 33/1 to 9/1.
- Andrew Van Ginkel from 28/1 to 16/1.
- Kerby Joseph is back on the board.
- Danielle Hunter, Derek Stingley Jr., Jonathan Greenard, Nik Bonitto, Trey Hendrickson, and Xavier McKinney are now off the board.
- Coach of the Year
- Kevin O’Connell is a massive favorite at -1200 (1/12)
- Andy Reid from 9/1 to 22/1.
- Dan Quinn from 12/1 to 40/1.
- Jim Harbaugh, Matt LaFleur, Mike Tomlin, Sean McDermott and Sean Payton are now off the board.
- Offensive Rookie of the Year
- Jayden Daniels is such a massive favorite that the odds have been pulled off the board.
- Defensive Rookie of the Year
- Jared Verse is now a massive favorites at -1200 (1/12).
- Braden Fiske is back on the board in third at 10/1.
- Offensive Player of the Year
- The odds are off the board as Saquon Barkley has it locked up with is 2,005 rushing yards.
Awards Odds
Below are links to real-time odds for each award:
MVP: https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/nfl-player-futures/mvp.
DPOY: https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/nfl-player-futures/defensive-awards
COY: https://www.betonline.ag/sportsbook/futures-and-props/nfl-player-futures/coach-of-the-year
Note: Players/Coaches with improved odds to win award have a down arrow (↓), players/coaches with odds lengthened to win award have an up arrow (↑). OTB means off the board.
2024-25 Regular Season MVP
| 12/24/24 | 12/31/24 | |
| Josh Allen | 1/5 (-500) | 2/7 ↑ (-350) |
| Lamar Jackson | 15/4 (+375) | 5/2 ↓ (+250) |
| Joe Burrow | OTB | 20/1 ↓ |
| Saquon Barkley | 16/1 | 22/1 ↑ |
| Jared Goff | 25/1 | OTB ↑ |
| Sam Darnold | 75/1 | OTB ↑ |
2024-25 Defensive Player of the Year
| 12/24/24 | 12/31/24 | |
| T.J. Watt | 5/11 (-220) | 5/7 ↑ (-140) |
| Patrick Surtain II | 15/4 (+375) | 6/5 ↓ (+120) |
| Myles Garrett | 33/1 | 9/1 ↓ |
| Andrew Van Ginkel | 28/1 | 16/1 ↓ |
| Kerby Joseph | OTB | 25/1 ↓ |
| Will Anderson Jr. | 25/1 | 50/1 ↑ |
| Danielle Hunter | 25/1 | OTB ↑ |
| Derek Stingley Jr. | 40/1 | OTB ↑ |
| Jonathan Greenard | 33/1 | OTB ↑ |
| Nik Bonitto | 20/1 | OTB ↑ |
| Trey Hendrickson | 28/1 | OTB ↑ |
| Xavier McKinney | 28/1 | OTB ↑ |
2024-25 Coach of the Year
| 12/24/24 | 12/31/24 | |
| Kevin O’Connell | 1/4 (-400) | 1/12 ↓ (-1200) |
| Dan Campbell | 4/1 | 5/1 ↑ |
| Andy Reid | 9/1 | 22/1 ↑ |
| Dan Quinn | 12/1 | 40/1 ↑ |
| Jim Harbaugh | 33/1 | OTB ↑ |
| Matt LaFleur | 50/1 | OTB ↑ |
| Mike Tomlin | 25/1 | OTB ↑ |
| Sean McDermott | 50/1 | OTB ↑ |
| Sean Payton | 50/1 | OTB ↑ |
2024-25 Rookie Defensive Player of the Year
| 12/24/24 | 12/31/24 | |
| Jared Verse | 1/5 (-500) | 1/12 ↓ (-1200) |
| Quinyon Mitchell | 4/1 | 6/1 ↑ |
| Braden Fiske | OTB ↑ | 10/1 ↓ |
| Chop Robinson | 20/1 | 33/1 ↑ |
| Tarheeb Still | 33/1 | 60/1 ↑ |
2024-25 Offensive Player of the Year
| 12/24/24 | 12/31/24 | |
| Saquon Barkley | 1/15 (-1500) | 1/15 ↓ (-1500) |
| Ja’Marr Chase | 13/2 (+650) | 13/2 ↑ (+650) |
| Derrick Henry | 33/1 | 33/1 ↑ |
| Josh Allen | 40/1 | 40/1 ↑ |
| Lamar Jackson | 66/1 | 66/1 ↑ |
| Justin Jefferson | 100/1 | 100/1 ↑ |
| Josh Jacobs | OTB ↑ | OTB ↑ |
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