NFL Home Underdogs Week 13 Preview

Home underdogs fared very well in Week 12 of the NFL season. After a dismal performance in Week 11, home dogs went 3-1 ATS against the closing NFL betting odds last week with all three Sunday selections cashing. The New York Jets and Washington Redskins pulled off outright upsets over the Oakland Raiders and Detroit Lions, while Cincinnati kept it within the number at home despite losing to Pittsburgh. The lone loss was on Monday night, as the Los Angeles Rams were run out of their building by Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens.

There a whopping nine home underdogs this week per the NFL betting odds, so there are plenty of chances for home teams to pull off the upset on Thanksgiving weekend. Six of those teams are underdogs by a field goal or less, so this could be a week to bet parlays.

NFL WEEK 13 BETTING ODDS

DETROIT LIONS +3 OVER CHICAGO BEARS

The Lions’ quarterback situation is dire. Matt Stafford is likely out for the rest of the season with broken bones in his back, and backup Jeff Driskel might not be ready to play on Thursday afternoon either. Driskel is dealing with a hamstring injury that kept him out of practice on Monday, and he is considered a game-time decision. If he is unable to play, undrafted rookie David Blough will get the start.

Driskel has been somewhat effective moving the ball, so he is key to an upset bid. Chicago’s quarterback situation is key in that regard too as Mitchell Trubisky has been abysmal this year. Trubisky has completed just 61.5 percent of his passes and is averaging 5.5 YPA on the road. The Lions probably should have pulled off the upset against the Bears two weeks ago after outgaining their opponent by 131 total yards in Soldier Field, so don’t be surprised to see it happen this time. Detorit is a live dog per the NFL moneyline odds.

ATLANTA FALCONS +7 OVER NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

Speaking of recent upsets between division rivals, Atlanta went on the road and hammered New Orleans that same week. The Falcons outclassed the Saints in a 26-9 win, spoiling Drew Brees’ second game back in the Big Easy.

Atlanta might not have Julio Jones available for Thursday night’s game, and that would be a huge setback, but the Falcons have had some nice success through the air recently with Calvin Ridley. Ridley has 14 receptions for 228 yards in Atlanta’s last two games.

NEW YORK GIANTS +6 OVER GREEN BAY PACKERS

The Giants have lost seven straight games, but Daniel Jones’ play continues to be lauded. Danny Dimes has thrown twice as many touchdowns as interceptions despite having one of the most shallow receiving corps in the league, and Green Bay is reeling after a gut-wrenching loss in San Francisco last Sunday. It’s not easy to travel from coast to coast in subsequent weeks, so Green Bay could have some fatigue this weekend.

MIAMI DOLPHINS +9 OVER PHILADELPHIA EAGLES

It’s not much of a surprise to see Miami as the biggest home underdog in Week 13. The Dolphins have fallen back down to Earth after winning back-to-back games over the Jets and Colts at the start of the month, losing by 17 points to the Bills and Browns in consecutive weeks. This defense has been abysmal, but Philadelphia has not looked sharp on offense in two straight weeks, scoring just 19 points in that stretch.

CINCINNATI BENGALS +3 OVER NEW YORK JETS

Zac Taylor has made the decision to go with Andy Dalton over Ryan Finley once more, and that bodes well for the Bengals. Dalton is a much better quarterback than Finley, and his play nearly led to the Bengals pulling off a few upsets earlier in the year.

The Jets have won three straight games, so they are in the rare position of being a road favorite per the NFL betting odds. Sam Darnold has played well in recent weeks to help Gang Green turn things around, but the wins haven’t been too inspiring.

PITTSBURGH STEELERS +2 OVER CLEVELAND BROWNS

Mason Rudolph won’t be starting under center for Pittsburgh against Cleveland, but tensions will be high on Sunday nonetheless. The brouhaha that unfolded between these two bitter rivals only happened a few weeks ago, and there will be some lingering bad blood.

Devlin Hodges will be out to lead the Steelers to a win over Cleveland, and the undrafted rookie can sling it. Hodges left Samford as the all-time leading passer in the history of the FCS, and he has played well in limited action. He gives Pittsburgh a chance of sending its fans home happy, so a moneyline bet on Pittsburgh might be in order.

ARIZONA CARDINALS +3 OVER LOS ANGELES RAMS

The Rams need a win in the worst way, but this offense is reeling. Los Angeles has not been able to do much on the ground this year, and that has made everything worse on this side of the ball. Arizona has had two weeks to get ready for this game and has improved from where this team was at the start of the year, so don’t be surprised to see an upset.

DENVER BRONCOS +2.5 OVER LOS ANGELES CHARGERS

Denver might start its third different quarterback against Los Angeles this week. Drew Lock is healthy and ready to come off injured reserve, and he is likely a better option than Brandon Allen going forward. Lock would love to get some seasoning before the end of the season, so it’s only a matter of time before Vic Fangio sends him into action.

HOUSTON TEXANS +3 OVER NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS

We can’t blame you if you don’t want to bet against the Patriots. New England is too good and too disciplined, but this team has not been the invincible Patriots of old in 2019. Deshaun Watson can create some magic a la Lamar Jackson to give the Texans a crucial win.

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