There aren’t as many home underdogs per the NFL betting odds in Week 10 as there were in Week 9, so you won’t have as many chances to make money. Home underdogs went 5-1 last week, and four of those five dogs ended up winning outright. Miami knocked off the New York Jets for its first win of the season, Baltimore defeated previously undefeated New England, and Denver and the LA Chargers both won too. There are four home dogs this week, and each of the four would love to keep this trend rolling.
NFL WEEK 10 BETTING ODDS
OAKLAND RAIDERS +1 VS. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS
This line is intriguing. Oakland is a half-game better than the Los Angeles Chargers in the standings, and the Raiders have been great in their last season in the Black Hole. Their lone home loss was to the Kansas City Chiefs, and they have knocked off Denver, Chicago, and Detroit at home.
Derek Carr has had a very nice season. Despite not having a No. 1 receiver on the roster, Carr has played well. He has completed over 71 percent of his passes, and his 105.1 quarterback rating is his best performance ever. The offensive line has played a big role in his success, only allowing Carr to be sacked nine times, and the Chargers don’t have a great secondary.
Josh Jacobs has been one of the top rookies in the NFL too. Jacobs is on pace to run for almost 1,500 yards in his first season in pro football, turning conventional wisdom about running backs on its head.
I fully expect Oakland to close as a short favorite per the NFL betting odds provided offensive linemen Rodney Hudson and Trent Brown are cleared to play on Thursday, so get in on the Raiders now.
NEW YORK JETS +2.5 VS. NEW YORK GIANTS
Okay, so technically this isn’t a real road game for the Giants, but the Jets are the nominal home team, so we are going to count it. The Jets have been called the worst team in the NFL after losing to the lowly Dolphins. Their lone win of the year was a surprising 24-22 upset of Dallas last month, but they will be facing a Giants team on short rest after Monday Night Football.
Sam Darnold has thrown eight interceptions in his last four games, but his offensive line has not helped him at all. Darnold has been sacked 14 times over that stretch, and that inability to keep a clean pocket doesn’t give him much of an opportunity to stretch the field. His longest completion over the past three weeks was just 24 yards, but the Giants don’t have a great pass rush.
CINCINNATI BENGALS +10 VS. BALTIMORE RAVENS
This is a trap game for Baltimore. The Ravens are sky high after becoming the first team to beat New England on Sunday night, thrashing the Patriots 37-20. They will return home to face Deshaun Watson and the Houston Texans next Sunday, and it might be hard for them to get motivated to take on the Cincinnati Bengals this weekend.
Cincinnati has had two weeks to prepare for this game, giving rookie Ryan Finley plenty of time to get comfortable. Zac Taylor will have a script that Finley can use to be successful, and we’ve seen many rookies have a great debut over the last couple years. The Bengals have a great chance to cover double digits at home, and this NFL betting line will drop.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS +4 VS. LOS ANGELES RAMS
Mason Rudolph has been up and down since taking over from Ben Roethlisberger. He hasn’t been as accurate as the veteran signal caller, but he appears to be growing into the role. Pittsburgh has circled the wagons by winning three in a row behind Rudolph, and this team could have won five in a row if not for Baltimore beating Pittsburgh in overtime a month ago.
The Rams have had two weeks to prepare for Pittsburgh, but this team can’t run the ball like it has been able to the last two years. That could spell trouble against a front seven that has played well over the last month.
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