NFL Week 11 Games to Avoid

If you decided to ignore the advice in this article, you ended up having a winning week. Buffalo failed to cover as a very public underdog, but Baltimore and Seattle had no problems covering the spread in their games. Baltimore pounded Cincinnati and easily covered the 10 points in a 49-13 blowout win over the Bengals, and Seattle overcame the odds as an underdog on the road in San Francisco to deal the 49ers their first loss of the season.

GAMES TO AVOID IN WEEK 11

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -6 AT TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

The Saints are one of the most popular picks this week, and New Orleans is particularly popular in teaser plays. Bettors are looking to hammer the Saints this week after last week’s shocking loss to Atlanta, but New Orleans does not have a great history against Tampa Bay.

Although the Saints have been much better than the Buccaneers over the course of the decade, that hasn’t played out on the field. Tampa Bay has won at least one of its two games with New Orleans in every year since 2015, and the Bucs lost to the Saints in the Big Easy earlier this season.

Jameis Winston can play Tampa Bay into or out of any game, and he has two elite receivers in Mike Evans and Chris Godwin. Winston is on pace to throw for well over 4,000 yards this season, and if he can limit the interceptions, Tampa Bay can pull off a major upset on Sunday.

Drew Brees was harassed all afternoon by an anemic Atlanta pass rush last week, being sacked six times on the day. If Tampa Bay can create similar pressure, it will fluster the reliable veteran.

LOS ANGELES RAMS -6.5 VS. CHICAGO BEARS

The Rams will be a public play this week too. Los Angeles is laying just less than a touchdown at home against Chicago, and the perception is that the Rams are a playoff contender while the Bears have been roundly dismissed by everyone.

However, the Rams have not been great on offense this season. The offensive line has not held up well, and that has led to the running game stalling out. Todd Gurley is not putting up the same numbers that he has in the past, which has led to a trickle-down effect with the entire offense.

Jared Goff has thrown nine interceptions in nine games, turning the ball over at a rate we haven’t seen since his ill-fated rookie season. He doesn’t have one of his best receivers in Brandin Cooks, and Pittsburgh held top target Cooper Kupp without a single reception last week.

Chicago doesn’t have the firepower on offense to win the game outright, so taking the Rams in a teaser might be a good idea. However, the defense can shut down LA’s offense, and keep this one close. Khalil Mack has been explosive in primetime during his time with the Monsters of the Midway, and this is an offense he can take advantage of given the blocking woes.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS -3.5 VS. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (IN MEXICO CITY)

It’s never easy to play out of the country, and it feels like wonky results are the norm in these games. However, there are other reasons to hesitate when considering laying 3.5 points with Kansas City on Monday Night Football.

The Chiefs have been dreadful on defense this season. The offense has been stellar both with and without Patrick Mahomes, but the defense has not showed much improvement despite massive investments in this side of the ball over the summer.

Kansas City has given up 31 points or more in three of its last five games, and the Chiefs are 2-4 over their last six games. They were stunned on the road by Tennessee last week, and the Chargers could follow suit.

Philip Rivers had an uncharacteristic performance last week against Oakland, and he will be looking to bounce back against a below average secondary. Melvin Gordon has slowly played himself into shape after sitting out training camp and preseason, but the biggest advantage might be extra rest. Since Los Angeles played on Thursday, it has had more time to prepare for this trek.

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