Trap games, lookahead games, letdown games…there are all sorts of games that you want to avoid as a bettor in order to keep a healthy bankroll and turn a profit with your NFL betting during the fall. Let’s take a look at some of the games to avoid in Week 7 of the NFL season.
GAMES TO AVOID IN WEEK 7
OAKLAND RAIDERS +5.5 AT GREEN BAY PACKERS
The Packers are one of the most public plays this week. Green Bay is 5-1 after last Monday night’s 23-22 win over Detroit, but there are plenty of reasons to be skeptical about the Packers.
Matt LaFleur and Aaron Rodgers are getting along, but the offense hasn’t been great. Green Bay continues to be largely dependent on Rodgers, even though the future Hall of Fame quarterback does not have good receivers. LaFleur has been more committed to the run, but the Packers are averaging just 4.1 YPC this season, and that ranks in the bottom half of the league.
Green Bay’s revamped defense has been the main reason the Packers are atop the NFC North, but the Packers will be facing one of the best offensive lines in the NFL in Oakland. Trent Brown might be the best left tackle in the league, and the play up front has allowed Derek Carr to thrive despite not having a dominant receiver.
Oakland has been able to run the ball with rookie running back Josh Jacobs, and Jacobs is averaging 4.9 YPC on the season. He can carry the load and keep the Raiders offense ahead of schedule in terms of down and distance, lightening Carr’s burden.
The Raiders have a rest advantage ahead of this game too. While Green Bay played Detroit on Monday night, giving the Packers just five days between games, Oakland is coming off a bye week. That should give you cause for pause if you want to bet on Green Bay.
LOS ANGELES CHARGERS +2 AT TENNESSEE TITANS
It seems like everyone and their brother loves the Chargers on the moneyline and in teasers this week. Tennessee is in disarray and has benched Marcus Mariota in favor of Ryan Tannehill, but that move isn’t likely to change much on that side of the ball.
The Titans have one of the best defenses in the NFL though, and that should give bettors some trepidation about betting the Chargers. Tennessee can make Los Angeles one-dimensional as the Chargers struggle to run the ball anyways, and Philip Rivers has not played well the last two weeks.
Rivers may finally be showing his age. He has thrown four interceptions in his last two outings, and this offense has gone from one of the top ten offenses in the NFL to a league average unit in the last year. The Chargers have only defeated one opponent in regulation (Miami), and no one is writing home about beating the Dolphins.
This Chargers defense is much worse than last year too. The loss of Derwin James has had a deleterious effect on their secondary, as this unit is far worse than the unit that was considered one of the NFL’s best in 2018. Even Tannehill could move the ball against a defense allowing 7.8 YPA.
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