NFL Week 9 Games To Avoid

Kudos to you if you didn’t listen to our advice last week. The games we told you to avoid went 2-0, as the Los Angeles Chargers won outright on the road against the Chicago Bears as the Bears’ kicking woes continued, and the Seattle Seahawks covered by a half-point on the road against the Atlanta Falcons. Hopefully, we won’t lead you astray this week with our suggestions.

GAMES TO AVOID IN WEEK 9

SEATTLE SEAHAWKS -5 VS. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

This line screams trap game. Seattle opened as a 6.5-point favorite over Tampa Bay according to the NFL betting odds, but this number has slowly fallen throughout the week.

The Seahawks have not been great at home this year. Seattle is 2-2 in the Emerald City, and its two wins have each come by one point. This team was outplayed by Cincinnati and shouldn’t have beat the Bengals in Week 1, and the Seahawks needed a Greg Zuerlein field goal attempt to sail wide to squeak by the Rams in Week 5.

Tampa Bay has proven it can win on the road. The Buccaneers beat the Rams in a shootout back in Week 4, and while Jameis Winston is about as turnover prone as they come, he has immensely talented receivers and can get them the ball in good spots more often than not.

Seattle doesn’t have the playmakers it used to on offense, leading to everything relying on Russell Wilson. Wilson has posted some incredible numbers this year, completing 68.4 percent of his passes and averaging 8.5 YPA with 17 touchdowns and one interception, but his numbers dipped dramatically in his last home game. Tampa Bay has been excellent at stopping the run this year, allowing just 3.0 YPC, so the Bucs should make Seattle one-dimensional.

BUFFALO BILLS -9.5 VS WASHINGTON REDSKINS

It’s hard to justify betting on the Bills when they are laying more than a touchdown. Buffalo does not have a good offense. Sean McDermott has done an excellent job creating plays given what he has to work with in terms of talent, but opponents are starting to challenge Josh Allen more and more.

Through a year and a half, Allen has thrown as many touchdowns as interceptions. His accuracy has improved in his second seasons, but much of that is due to the quarterback continually throwing underneath routes. Allen is completing just over 60 percent of his passes and is averaging 6.7 YPA, and that’s not conducive to winning big. Buffalo’s only wins by 10 points or more came against Miami and the New York Giants, and the Bills failed to cover against both the Jets and the Bengals.

Dwayne Haskins appears set to make his first NFL start this weekend for Washington with Case Keenum still in the NFL concussion protocol. Haskins has thrown four interceptions without a touchdown in limited action in two games, but rookie quarterbacks have a tendency to start hot. Daniel Jones and Sam Darnold both shined in their first games before being found out, and the same thing might happen with Haskins here.

Washington has had an additional few days to prepare for Buffalo after being on Thursday Night Football last week. The Bills should win this game and cover a teaser, but outscoring Washington by 10 or more points may prove difficult.

HOUSTON TEXANS -1 AT JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

More people are hopping on the Houston bandwagon with each incredible Deshaun Watson performance. Watson has been superhuman in turning the Texans into a potential AFC contender, but the loss of J.J. Watt for the rest of the season will take a massive toll on this defense.

Without Watt or Jadeveon Clowney, Houston’s subpar secondary is set to be exposed. For years, the Texans relied on these two rush ends to get to the quarterback, but it will be hard for this team to get to the passer without either one.

Gardner Minshew II is still playing well as a rookie, and he has made the Jaguars a difficult team to get past. Jacksonville doesn’t have a great home field advantage, but it’s not easy playing on the road, and Houston is due to a letdown. The Jaguars have a great chance of pulling off the upset per the NFL moneyline odds.

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