Oddsmakers Expecting At Least Two Underdogs To Win On Wild Card Weekend

NFL Wild Card Weekend is about to get underway with the two AFC games are on Saturday and the two NFC games on Sunday. Each year, we’re always wondering how many upsets we’ll see in this round as the Divisional Round produces less. That’s because the four teams that will host matchups next weekend not only are higher seeds, they’re also all off resting on a bye.

With that in mind, let’s take a look at the Wild Card Weekend betting odds that have been just posted to see if there’s some value on the board:

BIGGEST POINT DIFFERENTIAL IN ANY GAME

OVER 14.5: -150
UNDER 14.5: +110

The over looks like a very good play here. The New Orleans Saints could very easily drill the Minnesota Vikings by a large amount of points at home. The Saints are a 1-seed-caliber team which fell to the No. 3 seed, and they are playing the sixth and lowest seed in the NFC, the Vikings, who have been struggling in recent weeks. This could certainly be a blowout. If that game isn’t a total romp, the New England Patriots – angered by the fact that they lost to the lowly Miami Dolphins and squandered a shot at a wild card bye – could certainly refocus and blitz the Tennessee Titans. It would not be a shocker if either the Saints or the Patriots won by a ton of points this weekend. The Seattle Seahawks and Buffalo Bills should be able to play close road games against the Philadelphia Eagles and Houston Texans, respectively. A large margin of victory is highly unlikely in those two games.

MOST POINTS SCORED BY ONE TEAM IN ANY GAME

OVER 33.5: -120
UNDER 33.5: -120

The Saints are a very good choice to go over the number against the Vikings. The Titans-Patriots and Bills-Texans games are not likely to produce a team with 34 or more points. The Patriots’ defense is too good, and the Bills’ defense is similarly strong. It is hard to see a shootout in either of the AFC games. The Seattle-Philadelphia game might have the best chance of producing a high-scoring game, since the secondaries are very weak on both sides. The Eagles have been bad in pass coverage all year, while the Seahawks have a banged-up safety, Quandre Diggs, and a rookie, Marquise Blair, who hasn’t been getting a lot of snaps on defense. There’s also a question mark about their best passrusher, Jadeveon Clowney, and whether he’ll be able to play.

TOTAL WILD CARD TEAMS (NO. 5 OR NO. 6 SEEDS, ROAD TEAMS) TO WIN THIS WEEKEND

2: +125
1: +175
0: +400
3: +1600
4: +4000

The Saints are a massive favorite, so don’t expect them to lose. The Patriots’ dynasty might not get back to the Super Bowl this season, but losing at home to the Titans doesn’t figure to be how the journey will end this particular season. At least two home teams will definitely win. The tricky parts of this prop are the Bills-Texans and Seahawks-Eagles games.

The Seahawks are carrying a lot of injuries into Philadelphia but the Eagles are really banged up too and are vulnerable. Seattle is a good road team as they’re 7-1 in away games this season but by no means a lock. The Eagles are 4-1 in their last five playoff games when posted as an underdog.

Ultimately, of the four games this weekend, the hardest one to pick is Bills-Texans. We don’t know how the Bills are going to react to the playoffs with a quarterback, Josh Allen, who will be making his playoff debut. This is only the Bills second playoff game since 1999. We also don’t know how J.J. Watt will perform for the Texans after months on the shelf with an injury. That game is a coin flip. One or two road teams will win. Choosing between one and two is the decision you have to make.

TOTAL WILD CARD TEAMS (NO. 5 OR NO. 6 SEEDS, ROAD TEAMS) TO WIN THIS WEEKEND

OVER 1.5: -175
UNDER 1.5: +135

It all comes down to whether you trust the Bills on the road against Houston. If that first wild card game goes to the road team, the over has a good chance of hitting. If Houston manages to defend home-field against Buffalo, the Seahawks would be the only road team likely to win. That’s the reality facing anyone who wants to bet on this prop.

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