Okudah Rookie Pick Total Set At 3, Young Sack Total At 8.5
The NFL Draft is over, and the focus of the professional football world (other than whether the NFL season will begin on time) is on how the various newly drafted players are going to fit in with their new teams. Let’s look at two of the best and most prominent defensive players from the 2020 NFL Draft. BetOnline has props on their rookie year performances, so let’s see if they’ll go over or under their set marks.
JEFF OKUDAH, DETROIT LIONS
TOTAL INTERCEPTIONS IN 2020: 3
The two defensive players being evaluated here are both Ohio State products. Anyone who is skeptical of Jeff Okudah is probably skeptical because Chase Young’s pass rush for the Buckeyes made it a lot easier for Okudah to provide pass coverage. With Young getting to the quarterback so often, Okudah didn’t have to stick with his receiver for as long a period of time. If you share that skepticism about Okudah, you will almost certainly think that he will grab fewer than two interceptions in his rookie season in Detroit with the Lions.
However, there is a more optimistic line of thought with Okudah, and it generally goes like this: Detroit plays in a division with quarterbacks who are usually going to make mistakes. No, Aaron Rodgers of the Green Bay Packers won’t make those mistakes, but the Chicago Bears are a mess at quarterback right now, with Nick Foles being the possible starter and Mitchell Trubisky wondering where his career is heading. The Bears could be good for two interceptions on their own and if that is the case, Okudah would need only two more interceptions in his other 14 games this regular season to climb over the total of interceptions being presented in this prop. Kirk Cousins of the Minnesota Vikings might throw at least one interception in two games. Then consider the other teams the Lions will play in 2020. Detroit will face the AFC South, meaning it will play the Jacksonville Jaguars and Gardner Minshew. That game could produce an interception. If Okudah is worthy of a No. 3 pick, he will get more than three interceptions. He should get enough opportunities against unproven quarterbacks this season.
CHASE YOUNG, WASHINGTON REDSKINS
TOTAL SACKS IN 2020: 8.5 SACKS
The situation facing Chase Young is that if he starts the season strong, opposing teams and offensive coordinators will either double-team him or “chip” him with a running back helping the offensive lineman in a blocking scheme against him. The best argument in support of the claim that Young will go over the total of sacks (getting at least nine) is that he will face the New York Giants’ and Philadelphia Eagles’ offensive lines twice in the season. Those are two of the weaker offensive lines in the NFL. It is worth noting how good those matchups could be for Young this season. Moreover, the Redskins play the AFC North in interconference games this coming season. The Cleveland Browns and Cincinnati Bengals have weak offensive lines Young could terrorize.
The flip side of this is that Young will have to face the Baltimore Ravens, Pittsburgh Steelers, and Dallas Cowboys, teams with good offensive lines. Can he do enough damage against the bad offensive lines so that he can rack up a large sack total?
The one strong point to mention here is that Young is in a strong front seven as the Redskins have a quality defensive line and some good linebackers like Ryan Kerrigan and Montez Sweat. Teams won’t be able to double-team Young because there are a lot of other good pieces here. That should make his task of hitting the over a bit easier.