Ravens 30-0 As Double-Digit Home Favorites

Tennessee’s late-season run was already impressive. Then they shot what could be the final arrow into the flailing New England dynasty and earned a spot in the Divisional round. A trip to the AFC Championship would be especially impressive considering they’d follow up taking out the team of the decade with a win over the hottest team in the league.

A mild spoiler: most of Baltimore’s trends are positive. They’re not just winning but winning decisively. At +200, they’re the Super Bowl favorites and their status as such is well-deserved. With the likely MVP at quarterback and a Super Bowl-winning head coach, it would be a monumental upset if the Ravens don’t advance.

If you’re looking for some action on the Divisional round, here are some trends to inform your betting decisions.

TENNESSEE TITANS (+10) @ BALTIMORE RAVENS

The Titans have covered in two of their last five playoff games. They’re 6-3 ATS on the road, including last week’s win. They’re 3-0 ATS with a rest disadvantage. Since 2007, they’re 2-8 ATS as road underdogs of 10 or more.

The Ravens were tied with the second-most covers in the league this season (10). Since Week 7, they’ve covered in every game except one (San Francisco). They’re 7-3 ATS outside of the AFC North. They’re 2-4 ATS as home favorites. Since 2004, they’re 1-4 ATS in home playoff games. They’re 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as home favorites of 10 or more.

TOTAL: 47

Tennessee had 10 overs this season, which were the most of any playoff team.  All three of their games with a rest disadvantage went over. Three of their last four games as underdogs of 10 or more went over.

Eight of Baltimore’s 12 games against AFC teams went over. Four of their six games as home favorites went under. Each of Baltimore’s six home playoff games since 2000 went under. Eight of their last 10 games as home favorites of 10 or more went under.

The Titans have played in Baltimore six times since 2000. All six games went under.

TENNESSEE MONEY LINE: +340
BALTIMORE MONEY LINE: -460

Since 2007, the Titans are 1-9 as road underdogs of 10 or more. However, their lone win came last season against Jacksonville. This season, they were 3-0 with a rest disadvantage and 6-3 on the road.

The Ravens are 3-0 with a rest advantage this season. They’re 11-1 as favorites and 9-1 outside of the AFC North. Since 2000, the Ravens are a perfect 30-0 as home favorites of 10 or more.

PROPS

Derrick Henry went over 150 rushing yards in two of his three postseason appearances. He rushed for 149 yards or more five times this season, including last week. However, he has a total of 47 yards on 15 carries in two games against Baltimore.

The Titans have allowed nine touchdowns to tight ends–tied for fourth-most in the league. Mark Andrews led all tight ends with 10 touchdown receptions this season.

In six career postseason games, Mark Ingram is averaging 46.2 rushing yards per game. He has one rushing touchdown and no receiving touchdowns.

Lamar Jackson averages 95 rushing yards per game at home–27.4 more than he averages on the road.

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