SUPER BOWL LVI: 8 BEST PROP BET PICKS

BY ADAM GREENE

While there might just be one final game to lay some cash on this weekend, we can really dig deep into the prop bets to maximize our financial return regardless of who wins Super Bowl LVI.

In the regular season we had the Crazy NFL Parlay with which to harness the NFL’s chaos and turn it into a new bass boat or trip to Cancun. Prop Bets allow the same type of return and, if you pick right, substantially less risk.

Yes, after taking the postseason off, we are once again leaning into football entropy in exchange for fabulous cash and prizes. Not for a Crazy Parlay this time, but for what I feel might be the safest bets of Super Bowl Sunday.

HERE ARE MY 8 FAVORITE PROP BETS FOR SUPER BOWL LVI

1. Any Team to Score 40 + Points — Yes (+400), No (-625)

In the 12 playoff games we’ve enjoyed this postseason, only three have crossed the 40 point threshold and the Kansas City Chiefs, who are not playing Sunday, did it twice. The other team? The Buffalo Bills.

Both the Rams and Bengals can score. That much is clear, but in the playoffs the Rams have topped out in the low to mid 30s and the Bengals’ top score was 27 and it took an overtime period to get there.

Anything could happen in this game, but a Bills vs. Chiefs style track meet is probably not one of them. The defenses here are too good. So “No” is the bet and there’s a good reason its vig is awful. But, as I said earlier, we want some sure things and all you have to do to make this one payoff big is bet bigger.

Bet NO at -625.

2. Los Angeles Rams Total Field Goals Over/Under 1.5 — Over (-167), Under (+120)

One thing Sean McVay loves to do in a big game is trot out his field goal kicker. While he might be one of the most creative offensive minds in the NFL, when it comes to taking chances or getting guaranteed points, McVay chooses the latter most of the time, sending analytics Twitter into a frenzy.

Of course, it’s easier to make that call when you have his defense.

Matt Gay has hit multiple field goals in every Rams playoff game. There’s no reason to think the Super Bowl stops that.

Bet Over 1.5 at -167.

3. Cincinnati Bengals Total Field Goals Over/Under 1.5 — Over (-175), Under (+125)

While Zac Taylor might be more likely to push the boundaries (and please the numbers nerds) by going for it, he loves his kicker. Rookie boot Evan McPherson has experienced a postseason for the ages, hitting the winning kick in back to back games.

While there’s a chance this one could be relatively high scoring, I can’t see Taylor tossing away points when he gets into McPherson’s range.

Bet Over at -175.

4. Both Teams To Score Over 19.5 — Yes (-130), No (+100)

I’ve seen score predictions all over the place for this one (and winners too), but if I go by my own score prediction (and why wouldn’t I?), then you already know I think both teams will surpass this mark.

These are two prolific offenses who both scored 460 points this season. LA crossed this mark in every playoff game. Cincy did in two out of three.

Bet Yes at -130.

4. Largest Lead By Either Team Over/Under 16.5 — Over +129, Under -169

Again, these teams have been through too much, played too well and been far too clutch when it counted to get run off the field. And while they’ve both proven they can overcome late in the game deficits, it’s tough for me to see Cincinnati or Los Angeles getting behind by two touchdowns and a field goal in the biggest game of the year.

Bet Under at -169

5. Time Of First Score Over/Under 6 minutes elapsed — Under +104, Over -137

Here’s the first one where we’re in plus money. I think with these offenses, and the lack of familiarity between the teams, we’ll get some quick scores early. I could easily see this one 7-7 after the first two possessions. As such, I don’t see a lot of time coming off the clock before that first score hits.

Bet Under at +104

6. Will the Los Angeles Rams Score On Their First Drive? — Yes (+129), No (-129)

I just wrote that, in spite of what the Rams and Bengals have in common (Taylor used to work for McVay with the Rams), the squads themselves haven’t played since 2019 and my guess is, especially on Cincinnati’s side, there’s not been a lot of holdover. I think that lack of familiarity will lead to early scores.

Bet Yes at +129.

7. Will the Cincinnati Bengals Score On Their First Drive? — Yes (+140), No (-185)

Regardless of the advantages in personnel the Rams might have on defense, they’ve never faced the Bengals and, as I mentioned above, I think there will be a “feeling out” period on defense that could easily land both teams in the paint.

Bet Yes at +140.

8. Most First Downs — Bengals (+150), Rams (-200)

If Cincinnati plays the way it did against the Kansas City Chiefs (and they probably will, at least as long as it works), that means the Rams will need to run a lot of plays to get down the field and will probably lean on Cam Akers/Sony Michel on the ground.

The Bengals have been a big play offense and, if they’re going to win this one, it has to show up Sunday.

Just on style alone, the Rams should have the edge here, win or lose.

Bet the Rams at -200

Follow Adam Greene on Twitter @TheFirstMan.

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