{"id":16711,"date":"2021-04-23T14:32:34","date_gmt":"2021-04-23T14:32:34","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/?p=16711"},"modified":"2021-04-23T14:32:36","modified_gmt":"2021-04-23T14:32:36","slug":"nfl-draft-the-franchise-quarterbacks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/nfl\/nfl-draft-the-franchise-quarterbacks\/","title":{"rendered":"NFL DRAFT: THE FRANCHISE QUARTERBACKS"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/TheFirstMan\">BY ADAM GREENE<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After establishing that no one on the planet knows how to pick a quarterback, I will now commence to picking out a quarterback.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>There are five guys that have been seemingly pre-ordained to go in the first round of the NFL draft. I, in my mock draft, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/nfl\/nfl-mock-draft-1-0\/\">predicted it would be six<\/a> and I stand by it. It makes too much sense at the bottom of the first round to take a QB.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I\u2019m not going to be ranking guys, but giving them designations based on two factors; their pro potential (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/nfl\/no-one-knows-anything-about-quarterbacks\/\">based on my own specific criteria<\/a>) and where they\u2019ll probably be taken.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>This is an interesting class because there are so many opinions on guys after the top pick. I\u2019ll cut through some of it and share my own thoughts, realizing, that everyone is always wrong about one or more of these guys.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Last year everybody, including me, had Joe Burrow as their top rated QB and he did not disappoint before he got knocked out with a knee injury. What I did not see is the absolute elite rookie season that Justin Herbert would have. I saw a lot of things I didn\u2019t care for in Herbert\u2019s tape. I also saw a lot of good and but taking him high, as the Los Angeles Chargers did, looked like a recipe to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/nfl\/nfl-draft-quarterbacks-that-will-get-a-coach-and-gm-fired-part-1\/?fbclid=IwAR1M_kfgFcDLpvyW16ppxN2YGuVdfsj7BElT9Mn8zIY-himvgHkcm7JZtnU\">get a head coach fired<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Of course, Chargers head coach Anthony Lynn did get fired, but it had nothing to do with Herbert\u2019s performance as he pocketed the NFL\u2019s Offensive Rookie of the Year Award. I\u2019ll take a push on that one, I guess.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>We\u2019re sticking with those same categories this time; POTENTIAL FRANCHISE QBS, QBS THAT WILL GET A HEAD COACH FIRED, HIGH REWARD, LOW RISK QBS and we\u2019re adding JUST GUYS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Let\u2019s get into it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>THE FRANCHISE QUARTERBACKS<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>TREVOR LAWRENCE, CLEMSON<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>6-6. 220 pounds<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>2020: 69.2 completion percentage, 3,153 yards, 24 touchdowns, five interceptions, 203 rushing yards, eight rushing touchdowns<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Lawrence is being called a generational QB talent coming out of the draft and I don\u2019t buy that. If he\u2019d put up the exact same quality of tape last year, I would have still taken Joe Burrow first. If Burrow was in this draft and sat out all year due to COVID-19 (as so many did), I would still take Burrow first.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Still, there\u2019s nothing not to love about the draft\u2019s presumptive No. 1 overall pick and the Jacksonville Jaguars have to be thrilled that Adam Gase did just enough to knock the New York Jets to the second pick so they could secure his services for the next 15-18 years.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If there are knocks against Lawrence, they\u2019re dumb. With the team around him, he didn\u2019t need to throw 40 touchdowns and, though he did lose his College Football Playoff game against Ohio State, he did complete 68.8 percent of his passes for 400 yards, two touchdowns and an interception. I promise you, those stats win in the NFL.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pro Comparison: <\/strong>Peyton Manning<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>If you watch Manning\u2019s <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/kcPHFpKMq_A\">Tennessee highlights<\/a>, then <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/jcYXl14lQyk\">take a gander at<\/a> Lawrence\u2019s, you\u2019re going to see a lot more similarities than just their jersey numbers. In fact, I think Lawrence has way better feet and pocket movement. Of course, there\u2019s a good reason for the comparison. Manning was Lawrence\u2019s favorite player growing up and he even worked with the Hall of Fame QB at the Manning Passing Academy in 2019.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>JUSTIN FIELDS, OHIO STATE<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>6-3, 228 pounds<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>2020: 70.2 completion percentage, 2,100 yards, 22 touchdowns, six interceptions, 393 rushing yards, five rushing touchdowns<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Here\u2019s the problem that some scouts and GMs seem to have with Fields as far as I can tell; they do no trust what they have seen with their own eyes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Fields, in his two years starting for Ohio State, has been a next level quarterback. He took his team to the College Football Playoff both seasons. He threw 41 touchdowns in his first full year as a starter, went toe-to-toe with Lawrence in the Fiesta Bowl, then outperformed Lawrence the very next year in the Sugar Bowl.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>In fact, let\u2019s hone in on those Sugar Bowl stats, because this performance was against one of the best teams in the country, riding a dynasty that goes back nearly a decade at this point. Fields threw a total of six incompletions in the game. That just so happens to be the exact same number of touchdowns he threw against a future NFL player-filled defense. He completed 78.6 percent of his passes for 385 yards. He did throw a pick, but, again, six touchdowns against Clemson.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Before people start trotting out the old \u201cOhio State QB\u201d problem in the NFL, anyone want to tell me the school that has a stellar record producing NFL quarterbacks? As of this writing, the only Universities boasting more than one single NFL starting quarterback are Oklahoma and Cal. Considering that Lincoln Riley has put three consecutive starting QBs in the league, you could argue that he\u2019s putting together a QB factory there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>But Cal? Aaron Rodgers, sure, but Jared Goff is the other guy and the Los Angeles Rams literally just paid a ransom to ship him out of town. Once Lawrence is drafted we\u2019ll have two guys from Clemson if Deshaun Watson can stay off suspension and Louisville gets two as well if Teddy Bridgewater can work his way into a starting job after a trade from the Carolina Panthers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>After that? Well, if Trey Lance gets to start the next school up for the two-for award would be North Dakota State, which isn\u2019t even FBS.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The fact is that Miami of Ohio, Boston College, Fresno State, Eastern Illinois, Wyoming and TCU have produced the exact same number of current starting NFL QBs as any school in the SEC.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>And here\u2019s another fact if you\u2019re talking about QBs and their school\u2019s history, BYU hasn\u2019t produced a starting NFL quarterback since 1983 (Steve Young). That was three years before LA Rams head coach Sean McVay was born.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>Pro Comparison:<\/strong> Dak Prescott\/John Elway<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I was the lone guy back in 2016 that had Prescott <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/ddNzkFwrHbI\">rated his top QB<\/a> and I see so many of the same skills, abilities and <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/MXCYiU5MI1I\">possibilities with Fields<\/a>. He\u2019s smart, he scans the field, he knows how to move in the pocket and he\u2019s deadly when he takes off. As a guy that\u2019s going to play as a rookie, he is ideal, especially on a team that already has the pieces (like the 49ers do). If they\u2019re smart enough to make this pick, and they should be, it could be like placing Prescott with the 2016 Dallas Cowboys all over again.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>I add Elway here, because that\u2019s exactly who I compared Prescott to coming out of Mississippi State and I feel like that\u2019s held up. Trust what you see. Fields is the guy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>NEXT<\/strong><strong>:<\/strong> The QBs that will get a head coach fired<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>The NFL DRAFT begins on April 29 at 8 p.m. EST. You can check out my first mock draft by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/nfl\/nfl-mock-draft-1-0\/\">clicking here<\/a>. You can view all of of BetOnline\u2019s NFL Draft props by <a href=\"https:\/\/beta.betonline.ag\/sportsbook\/futures-and-props\/nfl-draft\/nfl-2021-draft\">clicking here<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Follow our BetOnline <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/betonline_ag\">Twitter accoun<\/a>t for the latest sports news and betting odds, and stay tuned on the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/betonline_ag\/\">Instagram feed<\/a> for more good information too.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>BY ADAM GREENE After establishing that no one on the planet knows how to pick a quarterback, I will now&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":16715,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[129],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-16711","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nfl"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16711","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=16711"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16711\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":16716,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/16711\/revisions\/16716"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16715"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=16711"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=16711"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=16711"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}