{"id":18252,"date":"2021-07-30T19:07:56","date_gmt":"2021-07-30T19:07:56","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/?p=18252"},"modified":"2021-07-30T19:07:58","modified_gmt":"2021-07-30T19:07:58","slug":"predicting-the-defensive-rookie-of-the-year","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/ncaaf\/predicting-the-defensive-rookie-of-the-year\/","title":{"rendered":"PREDICTING THE DEFENSIVE ROOKIE OF THE YEAR"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

BY ADAM GREENE<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Like its offensive counterpart, by the end of the season we\u2019ve all pretty much figured out who\u2019s going to be named the Defensive Rookie of the Year. The great thing about last year\u2019s winner, Washington Football Team edge rusher Chase Young, is it looked like he\u2019d claim it when the year began (and I predicted as much) and all he did was meet expectations, recording 44 tackles, 10 for a loss, 7.5 sacks and made his first Pro Bowl.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

You could say that about a lot of the past DPotY because they were the perceived best pass rusher in their respective drafts and backed it up their rookie seasons. 2019\u2019s Nick Bose and his brother Joey in 2016 led the whole way. In fact, edges and defensive linemen have dominated this award since 2010 with just two linebackers, Luke Kuechly in 2012 and Darius Leonard in 2018 and one defensive back, Marshon Lattimore in 2017 hoisting the trophy.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The rest? Ndamukong Suh in 2010, Von Miller in 2011, Sheldon Richardson in 2013 and Aaron Donald in 2014.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

But this time, there\u2019s no dominant pass rusher or interior defensive lineman in this past draft. At least, none that leapt off the screen when you watched them. So this could be wide open.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Still, somebody\u2019s going to win it. Let\u2019s try to figure out who it will be.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here\u2019s your contenders according to the odds:<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jamin Davis +400<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Micah Parsons +550<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jaelan Phillips +700<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jaycee Horn +1000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kwity Paye +1200<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Patrick Surtain II +1200<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zaven Collins +1200<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jaremiah Owusu-Koramoah +1200<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Gregory Rousseau +1800<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jayson Oweh +2000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Azeez Ojulari +2200<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Asante Samuel Jr. +2200<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Caleb Farley +2500<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trevon Moehrig-Woodard +2500<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Christian Barmore +2500<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Greg Newsome II +2800<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nick Bolton +2800<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jabril Cox +4000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Baron Browning +4000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Eric Stokes +5000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Joe Tryon +5000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Payton Turner +5000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ronnie Perkins +5000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Joseph Ossai +5000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Davis, the favorite, was the No. 19 overall pick by Washington, who boasted one of the best defenses in the league last year. That, maybe more than anything, has put him atop the list. The problem there is, they have strong players all over and he could be an elite player and be surpassed, numbers-wise, by a guy on an inferior team.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Do stats count for everything? No. But are you going to give it to him with 90 tackles when Micah Parsons or Zaven Collins have 130? Probably not.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Your highest odds for a pass rusher are for Jaelan Philips, the No. 18 overall pick. He could be a solid choice, not only because they love to give this award to edge rushers, but the fact that he landed on a potential playoff team and is slated to start. The better the Miami Dolphins do, the higher profile Philips should have. He finished his one year at The U with 15.5 sacks and 45 tackles. Obviously, numbers like that would absolutely do it, but no one should expect him to post those as a rookie.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BUT, keep in mind he\u2019ll be playing two games against a rookie QB, Zach Wilson, a game against the Jacksonville Jaguars and fellow rookie Trevor Lawrence. He\u2019ll line up against the Houston Texans and Carolina Panthers. Those could be some multiple sack games for a guy already on a defense with some solid talent. This is what got Young the award last year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That could make Phillips your best bet with a solid +700 payout. Here\u2019s the rub, as Shakespeare would say, Gregory Rousseu, his fellow Miami Hurricane a year removed, is in a similar situation with the Buffalo Bills. And while the Dolphins could be a playoff team, the Bills almost certainly will be. If Rousseau can edge out Mario Addison, and he should, he could put up some big numbers in not only AFC East games, but in games with serious playoff implications in prime time. Rousseah opted out last season because of COVID-19, but in 2019 put up better numbers than Phillips did in 2020; 54 tackles, 19.5 for a loss, 15.5 sacks. Rousseu is worth a +1800 payout.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Could a corner sneak in? It\u2019s hard to tell. Nearly all the first rounders should start and get their shot. I don\u2019t expect the Panthers to be good, so Horn (+1000) would need a monster season to get in the mix. Surtain II (+1200) and Farley (+2500) could both be on playoff teams (Farley almost definitely). Stokes will probably be a No. 3 corner with the Green Bay Packers, who are still loaded on defense. I don\u2019t see the opportunities there for him.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Lattimore, in his 2017 DRotY campaign, had 52 tackles, five interceptions, one defensive touchdown and played on a NFC South division champion. That\u2019s an incredible season and as good as Lattimore has been since, making the Pro Bowl two more times, he\u2019s never matched those numbers.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The guy that could sniff those stats is Surtain II, who will play on a Vic Fangio defense with one of the best fronts in the game. Bradley Chubb and a healthy Von Miller could create plenty of QB mistakes that Surtain II could capitalize on.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

You want a dark horse with a massive payout? How about defensive end Payton Turner, selected 28th<\/sup> overall by the New Orleans Saints. Turner is sitting on the depth chart behind budding draft bust Marcus Davenport, the guy the Saints gave up multiple first round picks to get in 2018. In that time, Davenport has recorded a total of 12 sacks and just 1.5 last season. The Saints are a popular team on TV and could be in the Wild Card running the whole way. If Davenport continues on his downward trajectory, Turner could sneak in there and do something. If he nabs the trophy, he\u2019ll pay you at +5000.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

For my money, I like Phillips and Rousseau about the same and don\u2019t see the problem putting a little scratch on both.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The NFL season begins on Thursday, Sep. 9 and the Week 1 Schedule is already up and taking bets at BetOnline.AG<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Follow our BetOnline Twitter accoun<\/a>t for the latest sports news and betting odds, and stay tuned on the Instagram feed<\/a> for more good information too.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

BY ADAM GREENE Like its offensive counterpart, by the end of the season we\u2019ve all pretty much figured out who\u2019s…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":16736,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[133],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-18252","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaaf"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18252","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18252"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18252\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18254,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18252\/revisions\/18254"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/16736"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18252"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18252"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18252"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}