{"id":18438,"date":"2021-08-14T03:42:58","date_gmt":"2021-08-14T03:42:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/?p=18438"},"modified":"2021-08-14T03:42:59","modified_gmt":"2021-08-14T03:42:59","slug":"predicting-the-first-nfl-head-coach-to-be-fired","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/nfl\/predicting-the-first-nfl-head-coach-to-be-fired\/","title":{"rendered":"PREDICTING THE FIRST NFL HEAD COACH TO BE FIRED"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

BY ADAM GREENE<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

At the end of any given NFL season we can usually count on about five head coaches getting fired. Last year was unique as we had seven head men hit the streets, with the Houston Texans\u2019 Bill O\u2019Brien being the first to go and the only one fired during the season.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The rest, Dan Quinn of the Atlanta Falcons, Matt Patricia of the Detroit Lions, Adam Gase of the New York Jets, Doug Marrone of the Jacksonville Jaguars, Anthony Lynn of the Los Angeles Chargers and Doug Pederson of the Philadelphia Eagles all made it past Christmas to enjoy their final game of the season. All of them, with the exception of Pederson, deserved it.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

In fact, two of them \u2014 Quinn and Patricia, nearly got fired the year before. They were kept with the caveats that major improvements would have to come and neither guy had the ability to make it happen. They rarely ever do. They were dead men walking the whole time.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We don\u2019t have anyone like that this season, a guy given an extra chance when they didn\u2019t deserve it. We also don\u2019t have a loser like O\u2019Brien, who should have been fired years before hanging around.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

We do have a guy like Anthony Lynn, a dude that was out of his depth and shouldn\u2019t have been hired in the first place. Frankly, we\u2019ve got a few of them \u2014 Mike McCarthy, David Culley and Dan Campbell, but two of those guys would have to be one-and-done and while it\u2019s possible and even probable that one of them could go, I don\u2019t see it being first. We will definitely talk about McCarthy before it\u2019s over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Here\u2019s your contenders according to the odds:<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Vic Fangio +500<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mike McCarthy +600<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kliff Kingsbury +750<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Matt Nagy +750<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zac Taylor +850<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mike Zimmer +900<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Jon Gruden +1200<\/p>\n\n\n\n

David Culley +1800<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mike Vrabel +2000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Matt Rhule +2200<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Mike Tomlin +2500<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pete Carroll +2500<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Matt LaFleur +2500<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Dan Campbell +2800<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Joe Judge +2800<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ron Rivera +2800<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sean Payton +2800<\/p>\n\n\n\n

John Harbaugh +2800<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sean McVay +2800<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brian Fores +3300<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Frank Reich +3300<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kyle Shanahan +3300<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Robert Saleh +5000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Arthur Smith +5000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Urban Meyer +5000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nick Sirianni +5000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Brandon Staley +5000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sean McDermott +10000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kevin Stefanski +10000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bill Belichick +20000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Bruce Arians +20000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Andy Reid +20000<\/p>\n\n\n\n

First off, let\u2019s see if there\u2019s any real money to be made here. Are there any guys in the +four digit range that could be in any real danger? Here\u2019s the thing. It\u2019s easy to see a guy like Matt Rhule (+2200) getting fired at the end of the year, but will be the first guy? I see him lasting through the end, regardless. You\u2019d have to win by hoping he\u2019d be the first announced and no one gets loaded up into the trebuchet until after Week 18.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Will we get anyone fired in the season? I don\u2019t really see it happening, but I think we have three real contenders \u2013 McCarthy (+600), Taylor (+850) and Zimmer (+900). McCarthy, as previously noted, should have never been hired to begin with. Being featured on HBO\u2019s Hard Knocks<\/em> has spelled doom for all but two head coaches (Jon Gruden and Sean McVay) in recent history. In fact, four out of the last five seasons have seen coaches fired the very season their teams were featured on the show. McCarthy\u2019s days are numbered.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

What works in his favor is Jerry Jones, who hates to admit he makes mistakes (though that could be changing). He has fired only one head coach during the season since he took over the team, Wade Phillips in 2010 after the team started 1-7. If something like that happens under McCarthy, he could do the same thing and elevate defensive coordinator Dan Quinn to the interim job.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Taylor is on thin ice this season. I think he can survive with a losing record, but it\u2019s got to be a competitive one. Something like 7-10 or 8-9. If this team starts 0-5, it could be curtains. Mike Brown has chucked two guys early in the season before, firing Dave Shula in 1996 after a 1-6 record and Bruce Coslett in 2000 after an 0-3 start with two shutouts. But I like Taylor and hope, for his sake, he can hang around. Cincy is tough place and that\u2019s a rough division.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Zimmer is one of those guys that\u2019s just been around and done nothing special for far too long. His team is led by one of the NFL\u2019s worst plague rats, Kirk Cousins, and that acquisition alone has not gone as planned. A slow start in the NFC North and the Vikings could go ahead and cut bait.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The other single digit guys \u2014 Fangio (+500), the odds on favorite, Kingsbury (+750) and Nagy (+750) I think will all be safe. I really see the Denver Broncos competing for a playoff spot. The Arizona Cardinals are probably still a year away, but they\u2019ve played well in the NFC West for Kingsbury. They\u2019re just in the toughest division in the sport. It might take some extra time to build a team that can win there.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nagy made the playoffs in two of the last four seasons with Mitchell Trubisky as his quarterback with the Chicago Bears. What else does he have to prove? He\u2019s earned the shot to ride with Justin Fields for at least a couple of seasons. You think teams like the Jets, Bengals and Lions wouldn\u2019t kill to have that kind of success? Nagy\u2019s 28-20 as a head coach with two postseason appearances. Let\u2019s relax on that urge to fire the guy. Who could you hire that would be better?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Who\u2019s our best bet? I say Zimmer, followed by Taylor, then McCarthy, then Rhule as far as first fired. I do think there\u2019s a good chance Taylor won\u2019t be fired at all. If I had to predict who will be fired at the end of the season, I\u2019ll go Zimmer, McCarthy, Rhule, Culley (+1800), who should be one-and-done really, and Jon Gruden (+1200) who has been a monster waste of money since the Las Vegas Raiders signed him to a 10-year, $100 million contract in 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The NFL season begins on Thursday, Sep. 9 and the Week 1 Schedule is already up and taking bets at BetOnline.AG<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Follow our BetOnline Twitter accoun<\/a>t for the latest sports news and betting odds, and stay tuned on the Instagram feed<\/a> for more good information too.<\/em><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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