The preseason finale between the Chicago Bears and Kansas City Chiefs is set for Thursday night at Arrowhead Stadium.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
With both teams unlikely to play their starters, the betting focus has shifted towards the total, which has dropped significantly. However, this might present an opportunity to target the Over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The total for this game opened at 36 points, but heavy action on the Under has driven it down to 32 points. Despite the overall trend of low-scoring games this preseason (with the Under hitting in 26 of the first 33 games), this drastic drop in the total creates a buying opportunity on the Over.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Chicago Bears have been impressive on offense this preseason, averaging 27 points per game and outscoring their opponents 81-26 across three games. Their strong performance is reflected in head coach Matt Eberflus’ preseason record, where he is now 7-2 straight up and against the spread in exhibition games.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The Kansas City Chiefs have also been able to put points on the board, averaging 18 points per game this preseason. While neither team is expected to play their starters, both squads have backup quarterbacks who have been efficient in their preseason appearances.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
For the Bears, the competition for the backup quarterback position has been fierce. Tyson Bagent and Brett Rypien have both performed well, completing 73.7% and 71.4% of their passes, respectively. They have also been effective in stretching the field, with yards per attempt averages of 7.9 for Bagent and an impressive 10.9 for Rypien.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
On the Chiefs’ side, backups Chris Oladokun and Ian Book are expected to see most of the action. Oladokun has been particularly efficient, completing 76.5% of his passes with a solid 10.8 yards per attempt. Ian Book, while more conservative in his approach, has still completed 76.9% of his passes, albeit with a lower 4.8 yards per attempt.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Given the effectiveness of both teams’ backup quarterbacks, there\u2019s reason to believe that they will generate enough offense to surpass the low total of 32 points.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
The sharp drop in the total appears to be a reaction to the overall Under trend this preseason, and with neither team deploying their starters, the backups should have ample opportunity to exploit the opposing defenses.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Both of Kansas City’s preseason games have easily surpassed this 32-point total, with final scores of 26-13 and 24-23. This suggests that even without their starters, the Chiefs have been able to participate in higher-scoring games, supporting the case for the Over.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
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