{"id":4877,"date":"2018-12-11T03:48:14","date_gmt":"2018-12-11T03:48:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/?p=4877"},"modified":"2018-12-11T03:48:14","modified_gmt":"2018-12-11T03:48:14","slug":"college-basketball-bettings-biggest-money-losers-through-december-10-2018","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/ncaab\/college-basketball-bettings-biggest-money-losers-through-december-10-2018\/","title":{"rendered":"College Basketball Betting\u2019s Biggest Money Losers Through December 10, 2018"},"content":{"rendered":"

No matter the sport it\u2019s important to understand team valuation. More specifically, it\u2019s essential to know which teams are \u2018profitable\u2019 and which teams are \u2018money losers\u2019. This information has some intrinsic value but is most useful in isolating teams that are overvalued and undervalued relative to the pointspread. We covered the most profitable teams in college basketball<\/a> yesterday and in this article we\u2019ll look at the least profitable college basketball betting teams as of December 10, 2018. When you\u2019re talking pointspread losers in college basketball there are two types of teams\u2014bad teams and overvalued teams. In the long term, \u2018overvalued\u2019 teams with winning SU records are more interesting. Not to over simplify this dynamic, but today\u2019s overvalued money burning loser is tomorrow\u2019s undervalued pointspread darling.<\/p>\n

COLLEGE BASKETBALL MONEY LOSERS<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n

IONA GAELS (-8.8 UNITS)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Iona wasn\u2019t a bad team at all last season finishing with an overall record of 20-13 overall and 11-7 in the MAAC. They\u2019ve won three straight MAAC conference tournaments which means they\u2019ve appeared in the NCAA tournament for the past three years. They don\u2019t have much to show for it other than double digit first round losses to Iowa State, Oregon and Duke but at they\u2019re level this is a solid basketball program. This year, however, they\u2019re off to a bad start. The Gaels are 2-6 SU\/0-8 ATS but they could be due for a turnaround, at least in the point spread results. They\u2019ve got two ATS losses by one point and two more by \u00bd point. Best case scenario from a betting standpoint\u2014the Gaels take their lumps during non-conference play and enter the MAAC schedule with a poor record against the spread. No reason that they can\u2019t be competitive in conference and it\u2019ll be a good chance to get a decent team at a value price.<\/p>\n

MIDDLE TENNESSEE STATE BLUE RAIDERS (-8.8 UNITS)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Middle Tennessee State plays in Conference USA and they\u2019re usually a decent team. They appeared in the NCAA tournament in 2013, 2016 and 2017 and are most notable for beating Michigan State in 2016. The victory over the Spartans was only the eighth by a #15 seed against a #2 seed. Last year, the Blue Raiders won the CUSA regular season title but lost in the conference tournament. Overall, MTSU went 24-7 and 16-2 in conference. The problem with success like this is that expectations are high and with them come inflated pointspreads. MTSU is 3-7 SU\/0-8 ATS and while they don\u2019t have quite as many \u2018near miss\u2019 non-covers as Iona there\u2019s no reason they can\u2019t be competitive as a pointspread investment once conference play begins.<\/p>\n

CLEMSON TIGERS (-7.8 UNITS)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Year in and year old Clemson brings a decent basketball team to the table. They might not be at the level of ACC giants like Duke and North Carolina but they\u2019re competitive on most nights. Last year, the Tigers finished 23-9 overall with a record of 11-7 in the ACC. This year, they\u2019re 6-3 overall but just 1-8 against the spread. Their only ATS cover of the year came on November 20 when they beat Georgia 64-49 as -6 point home favorites. They started the year by winning but failing to cover four games as double digit chalk against The Citadel (won by 20 as -28 favorites), NC Central (won by 20 as -26 favorites), Sam Houston State (won by 15 as -24 favorites) and Akron (won by 3 as -12.5 favorites). They\u2019ve lost twice outright as favorites and it could be that this year\u2019s team just isn\u2019t as good as last year\u2019s. I\u2019m going to look for opportunities to step in against Clemson as they finish out of conference play against Radford (12\/15), Charleston Southern (12\/18) and Lipscomb (12\/30). They\u2019ve also got a game in Columbia against arch rival South Carolina on 12\/22 but unlike the three previously mentioned teams they should have plenty of focus against the Gamecocks.<\/p>\n

DELAWARE STATE HORNETS (-7.7 UNITS)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Delaware State is easily the worst team on this list and one of the worst in college basketball. Last year they were 4-28 SU\/2-14 in MEAC conference play. Their only two out of conference wins came against lower division teams. They actually regressed last year from 2016 when they went 10-22 SU\/7-9 in conference. It could be even more regression this year as the team enters mid December at 2-8 SU\/0-7 ATS. Their only two wins are against lower division, non-board teams (St. Elizabeth and Cairn) and they\u2019ve been underdogs of +13 or more in every one of their \u2018on the board\u2019 matchups. They\u2019ve played a reasonably ambitious out of conference schedule and have losses of 25, 42, 29, 16, 28, 28, and 29. Of course, as these big losses mount up the pointspreads against Delaware State will inflate but there\u2019s only one problem\u2014there\u2019s no guarantee that this Hornets team will stay inside even these \u2018shaded\u2019 numbers. Tough team to play against as prices are too high and they don\u2019t get opponents\u2019 interest up yet a team that I can\u2019t recommend playing on at this point.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

No matter the sport it\u2019s important to understand team valuation. More specifically, it\u2019s essential to know which teams are \u2018profitable\u2019…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":4878,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[135],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4877","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ncaab"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4877","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4877"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4877\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4879,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4877\/revisions\/4879"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4878"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4877"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4877"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4877"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}