The 2019 NFL MVP Award has a few obvious top-tier candidates but we\u2019re digging through all of the layers. We sifted through the main favorites, a second-tier and some long shots to find the best selections in each range. Here are the best bets to win the 2019 NFL MVP Award:<\/p>\n\n\n\n
These were the top contenders last year and they figure to be in the heart of the mix this year. Rodgers’ excellence and MVP-level stature require absolutely no explanation. Mahomes is the defending MVP, expected to produce monster numbers once again and lead the Kansas City Chiefs deep into the playoffs. He had 50 touchdowns last season \u2013 11 better than any other quarterback. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
Green Bay has a limited roster with a first-year coach, Matt LaFleur. There have also been rumors that him and Aaron Rodgers aren\u2019t on the same page just yet. I\u2019d want a bigger payout given the uncertainty of the situation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n
The same goes with Mayfield, who has shot up the board \u2013 along with all of the Browns futures. This is a team that\u2019s been hyped up quite a bit. While I do think Mayfield is going to put up strong numbers this season, his offensive line is a big concern in my eyes.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
From this group of favorites, Mahomes makes the most sense. He\u2019s a known commodity at the helm of an electric offense that should be even better in 2019 as he has more weapons to work with. From the favorites group, he\u2019s the best bet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
A lot of bettors will view Brady and Brees as good value plays but I\u2019m not so sure. Both teams have shifted to rely more on the run than the pass in recent years and that has somewhat muted their numbers. Brady had 611 or more attempts in four of the five years from 2011 to 2015. He\u2019s averaged 527.6 over the last three seasons. The same goes for Brees, who had at least 627 attempts every year from 2010 to 2016. He\u2019s averaged 512.5 the last two seasons.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
From this group, Rivers makes the most sense. He had 4308 passing yards last season and 32 touchdowns, which was the sixth-most. The Chargers don\u2019t have Melvin Gordon suiting up right now, so it might mean they rely on Rivers more. That could give him a good opportunity to pile up the stats.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
If the Rams finish in the top two in the NFC yet again, it will be very likely that Jared Goff will have produced a great season. That\u2019s especially true if Todd Gurley is still dealing with the weird knee injury or is limited by it. We could see Goff start to get more credit for this team\u2019s success.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
Meanwhile, Matt Ryan could be a good value play at +2600. He wasn\u2019t far off the pace last year as he had 4,924 passing yards (second in the NFL) and 35 touchdowns (third). If the Falcons are back in playoff contention, he could get some attention.<\/p>\n\n\n\n
As for Mack, he\u2019s probably the best bet among non-offensive players. The NFL\u2019s reigning Defensive Player of the Year will get a look if the Bears are back in the playoffs.<\/p>\n\n\n\n