{"id":7409,"date":"2019-11-05T02:24:43","date_gmt":"2019-11-05T02:24:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/?p=7409"},"modified":"2019-11-05T02:24:46","modified_gmt":"2019-11-05T02:24:46","slug":"odds-to-win-the-2020-presidential-election","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/sports\/odds-to-win-the-2020-presidential-election\/","title":{"rendered":"Odds to Win the 2020 Presidential Election"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

The 2020 United\nStates Presidential Election is now less than a year away. We\u2019ll\nsee an incredible amount of coverage over the next 364 days, and the\npolitical\nbetting odds<\/a> are certain to change considerably over\nthat time. However, it\u2019s clear that the oddsmakers believe that the\ngeneral election will likely feature Donald Trump squaring off\nagainst Elizabeth Warren. Their odds to win the 2020 election are\nconsiderably lower than any other contender at this point.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

WHO WILL WIN THE 2020 UNITED STATES PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION?<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

DONALD TRUMP +125
ELIZABETH WARREN +225
JOE BIDEN +800
BERNIE SANDERS +1200
ANDREW YANG +1400
PETE BUTTIGIEG +1400
TULSI GABBARD +4000
KAMALA HARRIS +5000
MIKE PENCE +5000
TOM STEYER +5000
AMY KLOBUCHAR +10000
CORY BOOKER +10000<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Although Trump is\nsure to leave office as the most scandalous president in United\nStates history, he stands a good chance of winning a second term. His\napproval rating has dipped below 40 percent according to most polls,\nand he will likely lose the popular vote once again provided he is\nthe Republican nominee in 2020. However, the electoral college is\nskewing right, and that boosts Trump\u2019s hopes of winning reelection.\n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

A recent\nstudy<\/a> from Michael Geruso, Dean Spears, and Ishaana\nTalesara shows that the electoral college has favored certain parties\nat various points over its history. Because the electoral college\ngives smaller states outsized influence, the party that appeals to\nrural voters has a better than average chance of winning an election\nthan you would think by going off national polls. \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Surveys from\nSiena College and The New York Times show that Trump has a small edge\nin swing states, much in the same way he did in 2016. Although Joe\nBiden is polling better than Trump in those states, his campaign is\nlosing momentum, and it\u2019s unlikely he would keep those margins over\nthe coming year. \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Trump also\nbenefits from the incumbency advantage. Incumbent presidents stand a\ngood chance of winning reelection historically, as there are certain\nbenefits incumbents receive. They don\u2019t have to deal with messy\nprimaries, they get an enormous kickstart in terms of fundraising,\nand they have already established name recognition and some good will\nin the eyes of voters. \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Elizabeth Warren\nis even\nmoney to win the Democratic Party nomination<\/a>, and she\nis seen as the main challenger to Trump. Warren doesn\u2019t yet have\nthe name recognition that fellow frontrunners Joe Biden and Bernie\nSanders enjoy, but she has done very well in the polls and in\nfundraising. \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Warren is ahead\nof Sanders and Biden in most of the recent polls that have been\nreleased for Iowa\u2019s caucuses. Those are the first state primaries\nand succeeding in either Iowa or New Hampshire is huge. No candidate\nhas won their party\u2019s nomination without performing very well in\none of those two states, and Warren has been surging in the Granite\nState too.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Biden was the\nfrontrunner to win the Democratic nomination, but most experts have\ndismissed the former Vice President\u2019s chances. His poll numbers\nhave been fading since the initial name recognition he enjoyed is now\ngone, and it\u2019s unlikely that he will rally. Biden\u2019s three main\nrivals for the nomination have received a substantial boost in recent\nweeks, so any bet on the former VP is not a wise one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Betting on Bernie\nSanders at\nodds of 12-1<\/a> could be a shrewd move though. Sanders\nhas an entrenched base of supporters, and he is polling well in all\nthe early states. His progressive policies have struck a note with\nyounger voters, and even a heart attack didn\u2019t hurt his poll\nnumbers. While he is not likely to be the nominee due to his age,\nthese odds are more than favorable for Sanders given his polling\nnumbers and fundraising capability.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Pete Buttigieg stands a much better chance of winning the nomination than Andrew Yang, and the South Bend mayor\u2019s odds should be 10-1 or lower. Buttigieg has established a position for himself as a young centrist, and that has led to big businesses pouring money into the coffers of the one-time longshot. He has closed the gap on Warren, Biden, and Sanders in the polls, and this is a great price to get a candidate that could win Iowa.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The political betting season is heating up–to get all of the latest news and odds follow BetOnline.ag on Twitter<\/a>!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BetOnline.ag on Instagram<\/a>–Follow for the latest odds, stats and information!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The 2020 United States Presidential Election is now less than a year away. We\u2019ll see an incredible amount of coverage…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":7410,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7409","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sports"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7409","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7409"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7409\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7411,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7409\/revisions\/7411"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/7410"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7409"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7409"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7409"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}