{"id":8161,"date":"2019-12-19T08:20:38","date_gmt":"2019-12-19T08:20:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/?p=8161"},"modified":"2019-12-19T08:20:40","modified_gmt":"2019-12-19T08:20:40","slug":"elizabeth-warrens-campaign-is-flailing-and-the-massachusetts-senator-has-fallen-behind-the-other-three-contenders-in-iowa","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/sports\/elizabeth-warrens-campaign-is-flailing-and-the-massachusetts-senator-has-fallen-behind-the-other-three-contenders-in-iowa\/","title":{"rendered":"Elizabeth Warren\u2019s Campaign is Flailing, and the Massachusetts Senator Has Fallen Behind the Other Three Contenders in Iowa"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Just a couple\nmonths ago, Elizabeth Warren\u2019s campaign was in great shape. Warren\nwas the frontrunner to win the Democratic nomination according to the\npolitical\nbetting odds<\/a>, and she was the star of the debate\nstage. However, her polling numbers have peaked, and her support is\nnow trailing the other three Democratic frontrunners. The\nMassachusetts senator is seen as a relative longshot to win the Iowa\nCaucuses behind Pete Buttigieg, Joe Biden, and Bernie Sanders, and\nher odds to win the Democratic nomination have slid slowly over the\nlast two months too. \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

WHO WILL WIN THE 2020 IOWA DEMOCRATIC CAUCUSES?<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

PETE BUTTIGIEG +110
BERNIE SANDERS +175
JOE BIDEN +300
ELIZABETH WARREN +700<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

At the beginning\nof November, Warren was leading the way in Iowa. She was ahead of her\nother three main competitors in polls from Siena College, Civiqs,\nQuinnipiac University, Public Policy Polling, and the University of\nIowa. \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Becoming the\nfrontrunner is a double-edged sword though, and Warren was soon the\nfocal point of many challengers\u2019 attacks. She was portrayed as too\nfar left of center and extremist, and some of those critiques have\nresonated in the minds of voters. Her support has fallen since the\nlast presidential debate, and her support in the most recent poll\nfrom Emerson College is troubling. Only 12 percent of likely voters\nexpressed support for Warren, placing her well behind Biden, Sanders,\nand Buttigieg. Amy Klobuchar is gaining on her too, and the Minnesota\nsenator polled at 10 percent in that poll.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That has\ncorresponded with a drop in her national numbers too. Warren is now\n+500 to win the Democratic Party nomination<\/a>, as a\nnational poll from Emerson College showed her support lagging\nconsiderably behind Biden and Sanders. While Biden polled at 32\npercent, Sanders was at 25 percent, and Warren polled at 12 percent. \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Emerson College\nhas been more bearish on Warren than other polls, but she is still\nroutinely behind both Biden and Sanders nationally. Warren is not\nleading in any of the early primary states, and Buttigieg\u2019s surge\nin New Hampshire is bad for her. Sanders and Warren were seen as the\ntwo most likely candidates to win the Granite State as fellow New\nEngland residents, but Mayor Pete\u2019s support has more than doubled\nover the last two months. \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

PETE BUTTIGIEG IS THE FAVORITE TO WIN IOWA<\/strong><\/h4>\n\n\n\n

Buttigieg has\nalways polled very well in comparison to his national averages in\nIowa, and the South Bend Mayor is now close to an odds-on\nfavorite to win the state\u2019s caucuses<\/a> on February 3.\nHe has led in two of the last three major polls that have been\nreleased, and he is seen as a popular compromise pick. Some centrist\ndemocrats don\u2019t want to vote for a candidate that is far too left\nlike Warren and Sanders are perceived to be, and Biden is seen as\nunacceptable and bound to lose to Donald Trump in the eyes of many\nyounger voters. \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That has made\nButtigieg a popular second option to many Democrats, and that bode\nwells for him in Iowa given that these are caucuses and not\nprimaries. He doesn\u2019t have a strong initial support base, but he is\nan acceptable candidate to many in the party, and that could lead to\na surge of support nationally assuming he does win in Iowa. \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Sanders has the\nmost loyal supporters of any candidate in the Democratic Party, and\nthat will make him a contender until the end. His base is the least\nlikely to accept a compromise candidate, so they could win over\nvoters supporting Warren and other undecided voters to win the\ncaucus. \n<\/p>\n\n\n\n

You might be tempted to bet on Biden at +300 given his polling numbers in the state, and that\u2019s not a bad bet at this price. However, Biden has the most opposition of any of the major candidates, and voters are likely to cross over to other camps before joining the former Vice President and his supporters. Additionally, Biden doesn\u2019t need a win in Iowa like other candidates do given his name recognition, and he is currently ahead in South Carolina and Nevada.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

The political betting season is heating up–to get all of the latest news and odds follow BetOnline.ag on Twitter<\/a>!<\/p>\n\n\n\n

BetOnline.ag on Instagram<\/a>–Follow for the latest odds, stats and information!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Just a couple months ago, Elizabeth Warren\u2019s campaign was in great shape. Warren was the frontrunner to win the Democratic…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":8163,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8161","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-sports"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8161","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/13"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8161"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8161\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8164,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8161\/revisions\/8164"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8163"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8161"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8161"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.betonline.ag\/news-room\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8161"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}