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MMA Betting: UFC 173 Main Card Preview

Posted by The Wiesguy on 5/20/2014 9:30:10 PM

UFC 173: Barao vs. Dillishaw is set for Saturday May 24 at the MGM Grand in Las Vegas. There is a little bit of controversy about this card as it was originally supposed to feature Vito Belfort in a title match but the Nevada State Athletic Commission banned testosterone replacement theory forcing him to withdraw. The backup main event was going to feature Chris Weidman but he had to pull out thanks to a knee injury. Then we were going to have Renan Barao vs. Raphael Assuncao for the bantamweight title but his rib injury has not healed quickly enough so T.J. Dillishaw is going to get a shot at the champ as the featured bout instead...Excited?

Renan Barao is an overwhelming favourite against Dillishaw coming off at -800. There is no reason he shouldn’t be as he is the far more experienced fighter with three times as many bouts under his belt and an awesome record of 32-1. Amazingly he is on a 32 fight winning streak as his lone loss came in his first fight back in 2005. The Brazilian, who is a little bit bigger than Dillishaw, wins every which way and is coming off a first round TKO of Urijah Faber in February.

Per the backstory above, Dillishaw is getting a shot in this one that is not totally deserved. Last fall he lost a decision to Assuncao, the guy who was supposed to get this shot, but at least he has won his last fight against Mike Easton in January. It is always tempting when you see a big number like +575 against someone’s name but in this case it seems highly unlikely that Dillishaw will put up much of a fight against the champ Barao.

Some are saying this card has two main events and that is because people are really looking forward to the battle between Dan Henderson, one of the most experienced fighters around at the age of 43, and undefeated Dan Cormier, another older guy at age 35. Cormier came to the sport later than most as he only has 14 bouts to his name right now but you can not argue with the results. He is a perfect 14-0 and his last match didn’t even last a minute and half before he TKOd Dan Cummins. Cormier may not be much to look at but he is the most heavily favoured fighter on the card at -950. “Hendo” definitely looks like he is in better shape but he lost three fights in a row before taking down Mauricio Rua in March. The payoff is enticing but I don’t think the dog has much chance. 

If you are looking for well matched fight on the main card than your best bet is probably Takeya Mizugaki vs. Francisco Rivera. These are a couple of experienced bantamweights with the more seasoned Mizugaki currently listed as only a -170 favourite. The fact that he has primarily won by decision throughout his career means we should at least get our moneys worth with this one. Rivera is +145.

 


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