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MMA Betting: UFC 174 Preview

Posted by The Wiesguy on 6/10/2014 11:46:41 PM

The next stop for the UFC will be Vancouver, British Columbia for UFC 174: Johnson vs. Bagautinov on Saturday June 14. The two headliners will battle for the flyweight championship. If you are looking to catch the undercard on cable this time it will be on FX instead of Fox Sports 1. And in other news there was supposed to be a ladies bout on the card but Germaine de Randamie couldn’t get her visa sorted for this one.

Demetrius Johnson is looking to defend his flyweight title for a 4th time against Ali Gagautinov. Johnson has only lost a couple of fights in his career and should have some support in his corner as his home of Kirkland, Washington is not that far away. They call him the “Mighty Mouse” and the description seems appropriate for a fighter of hiscalibre standing just 5’3”. Bagautinov will be looking down on him barely and has also put together an impressive record. The oddsmakers are not giving him much of a chance at +420 but they still think the fight could go the full five with the over on rounds set at 4.5. Johnson most often gets his victories by decision.

The remaining main card should be more even with none of the favourites greater than -140. The one that will get the most attention should be the welterweight bout between Rory McDonald and Tyron Woodley. Both have strong records with Woodley looking the much stronger of the two fighters. McDonald is a BC native and will have the crowd behind him as he looks to use his extra length to keep the powerful Woodley at bay. McDonald comes off at +120 and as a fellow Canadian I will definitely be rooting for him. This bout is being considered the co-main event.

The hardest fight to call on the night will be between Brendan Schaub and Andre Arlovski. Both are well travelled heavyweights. Arlovskiis a big cat at almost 250 pounds and he will knock you out. He may have 10 losses in his career but just one since 2011. He is the underdog at +115 but don’t underestimate the savvy “Pit Bull”. Schaub calls himself the “Hybrid” which is hardly an intimidating moniker. He hasn’t fought in almost a year and his fights tend to be over quickly. Win or lose 10 of his 13 fights have been over in round one. The oddsmakers have certainly noticed this setting the over at 1.5. He is -130 to win the fight.

In looking at the total card I think the best value on there is +135 on the under 4.5 rounds in the title bout between Johnson and Bagautinov. I know Johnson is a heavy favourite and often wins by decision but at those odds I think it is definitely worth a shot as maybe one of the fighters makes an error and the bout is over in three rounds. You are getting better than a 2:1 payoff with ability to win with both fighters. That looks like pretty good value to me.

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