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MMA Betting: UFC 186: Johnson vs. Horihuchi Main Card Preview

Posted by The Wiesguy on 4/24/2015 10:42:09 PM

The next big pay per view event on the MMA calendar is UFC 186 live from the Bell Center in Montreal on Saturday night. The feature bout is between flyweight champ Demetrious Johnson and Kyoji Horiguchi but this card could easily be known as what could have been event as fighters like T.J. Dillishaw, Rory McDonald and even Quinton Jackson were all rumoured or scheduled to grace the marquee. Jackson did ultimately make the card but his contract prevented him from being featured. Even though this is supposed to be a big show this event has a feeling that it is unlikely to live up to expectations.

Just because a fight is the feature bout doesn't mean it is going to be a good one. Kyoji Horiguchi has a 15-1 career record (mostly in Japan) but it would be a shock if his loss total doesn't double on Saturday. Demetrious Johnson is a significant favourite at -855, in fact I can't remember a more overwhelming favourite in a bout like this in some time. Johnson, a.k.a Mighty Mouse, has just two losses in his career but none since 2011. If you want to make a wager I would recommend looking elsewhere. There is just no value.

Rampage Jackson may still be one of the most recognizable names in the MMA world but he is not the fighter he used to be. In fact, he has lost the last three times he has fought on a UFC card and definitely is not the fearsome athlete who was the toast of the sport seven to ten years ago. Despite the cold intro he is still a considerate favourite over Fabio Maldonado at -275. You just have to remember to not get too nostalgic if that is who you choose to back. Odds are he wins but you won't win much.

Working our way down the card next we have the fight that the oddsmakers think will be the toughest to call, Michael Bisping vs. C.B. Dollaway. Bisping is the only favourite on the card that that is a favourite under -150 (-145) and he has been far from great of late, dropping three of his last five fights. His last fight was in November and it was over relatively quickly. Dollaway is younger and less experienced and has split his last two bouts. He lost his last fight in a first round TKO to Lyoto Machido so neither fighter is in great form heading into this one.

Normally on a fight card there is at least one undefeated fighter but there isn't one among this group. Joe Riggs is on the card and the Diesel carries in a record of 40-15. I don't know if that is a record but I cannot recall seeing a fighter with that much experience before, and he is only 32. Despite all that experience Riggs is only a modest underdog against Patrick Cote, who has a modest 29 fights under his belt. Also an anomaly is that Jessica Rakoczy is on the card. I am all for including the ladies on these main events but she has a 1-4 record and is taking on Valerie Letourneau. I am surprised she isnt a lot more than a +150 dog. The question is why couldn't they find anyone better to fill the slot.


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