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MMA Betting: UFC 195: Lawler vs. Condit Main Card Preview

Posted by The Wiesguy on 12/24/2015 11:48:56 PM

UFC 195: Lawler vs. Condit will be the first big event of 2016. It will take place on Saturday January 2 at the MGM Grand Garden Arena in Las Vegas. Perfect spot to ring in the New Year. We have been getting lucky with the last few cards, the Rousey takedown, McGregor’s amazing fast victory. Something tells me this card is going to play a little closer to form.

The feature bout on this card will be a welterweight title match between champion Robbie Lawler and Carlos Condit. This will be Lawler’s second title defense but he has certainly been through the wars over the years. He has been in and out of UFC and been a champion on every circuit he has competed on. Condit is no newbie either with 30 victories to his name. He has been in this position before though, losing to Georges St. Pierre back in 2012 with the title on the line. The odds tell us that this should be a battle. Lawler is only a small favourite at -120. At least the last fight of the night should be a good one.

This card kicks off with featherweight Brian Ortega putting his 9-0 record on the line against Diego Brandao. The up and coming Ortega is a significant favourite at -220 even though he does not have even a third of the experience of Brandao. Ortega is a relative newcomer to UFC but he was a title holder on other circuits. Brandao may have been around the block but he has never reached any heights and is not expected to suddenly emerge in 2016.

Next up is Albert Tumenov vs. Lorenz Larkin. Both have strong track records but the Russian Tumenov is a pretty strong favourite at -225. Since joining UFC he has lost just once and that was back in 2014. Since then he has had three first round knockouts. Larkin is no stranger to the UFC but his level of success has not been as high as his opponent’s. He lost back to back to back fights in 2014. He came back a little by winning both of his 2015 fights but by the time this one comes to be it will have been more than six months since his last tilt.

Heavyweight Stipe Miocic is a beast. At his best he can knock you out in less than a minute like he did against Fabio Maldonado down in Brazil. He has just a couple of losses during his career but only one where the tables were turned on him (the other a decision). That is why it is no surprise that he is a significant favourite against Andrei Arlovski. Arlovski is no punching bag, in fact he is a former UFC heavyweight champ, but that was back in 2005. He is just past his prime and his experience will likely not be enough to tip the scales in his favour for this one.


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