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MMA Betting: UFC Fight Night 46: McGregor vs. Brandao

Posted by The Wiesguy on 7/15/2014 8:11:42 PM

This is a rare week with two MMA cards on the docket. Following up on Fight Night 45 midweek we have Fight Night 46, live from the 02 Arena in Dublin, Ireland - just the second time they have visited. This Saturday night special was supposed to feature Conor McGregor and Cole Miller but Miller had to pull out due to injury. Diego Brandao was the replacement and despite this change the event sold out quickly.

Part of the reason there is such strong interest probably has to do with the fact that the featured bout features local boy Conor McGregor. Though this is the featherweight division McGregor is a beast. His last loss was all the way back in 2010 and he has tearing apart opponents with 12 KOs in 14 wins. His opponent, Diego Brandao is ranked 39th in the weight class according to Fight magazine and you can bet the home crowd will be looking forward to McGregor tearing into a fighter whose last win was 11 months ago. McGregor is a huge favourite at -400. I would not want to bet against him.

According to the odds the best fight should be between a couple of light heavyweights, Cody Donovan and Nikita Krylov. Krylov for some reason goes by the moniker of Al Capone, a weird fit for a guy from the Ukraine, but nevertheless he is the close favourite at -120. He has lost three of his last 5 fights but when he wins he punishes opponents, often knocking them out in the first round. Donovan is an American fighter, who has lost his last two, and has not won since 2012. Both of these fighter have lost to OSP, Ovince St. Preux, within the last year. Donovan is the slight underdog even though he is 49th for the weight class in the rankings.

Mike King comes to Dublin looking to push his overall record to a perfect 6-0. He will be taking on Cathal Pendred, another local fighter who is sure to have the crowd behind him. Oddsmakers are making Pendred the favourite at -185 but there is something about getting an underdog with a perfect record that is hard to ignore. Especially when that fighter is little bigger and longer than his opponent, which is always advantageous. +150 is a nice payoff too, though in some shops that is already coming down so you might want to bet it now.

After a draw in his first fight Gunnar Nelson, out of Iceland has been a perfect 12-0. That record has earned himself the #16 spot on the Fight Mag welterweight rankings as well as the position as the favourite (-450) in his bout against American Zak Cummings. Cummings is a middleweight though so we'll see if that extra size is of any advantage. Cummings is ranked as well (#30) and has not lost a fight since 2011. At +325 he is probably the best value play on the board at the moment.


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