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MMA Betting: UFC Fight Night Bisping vs. Kennedy Preview

Posted by The Wiesguy on 4/14/2014 8:53:44 PM

UFC Fight Night is coming to Quebec City, Canada for Bisping vs, Kennedy on Wednesday April 16. This is a rare midweek treat for UFC fans and this event from the Colisee (or Pepsi Centre) is also being billed as the Ultimate Fighter Nations Finale. The culmination of a number of a mini tournament between Canadian and Australian Fighters.  The headlining match will be between Michael Bisping and Tim Kennedy from the middleweight division. This is not a part of the Nations Finale.

Bisping vs. Kennedy is a match between two fighters than have definitely been around the block. They are both in their thirties and there is lots of tape on their strengths and weaknesses at this point. Bisping is the favourite at -175 and the thing that you definitely notice about him is that he is the taller fighter, with a 4 inch advantage over Kennedy. How Kennedy attempt to broach that disadvantage will determine how this fight goes. 
Bisping has lost two of his last 4 fights but by the time they ring the bell on this one it will have been nearly a year since he was in the ring. Kennedy, who has less fights under his belt overall, has won his last three fights and by comparison fought 6 months ago knocking out Rafael Natal in the first round.  A neat fact about Kennedy is that he is one of few professional fighters who also serves full time in the US Army. He may not be doing clandestine work due to his fame but he has special forces training and was a Green Beret when he started competing in MMA.

The second most anticipated match on the card is a welterweight battle between Kyle Noke (“KO”) from Australia and Patrick “The Predator” Cote of Canada. The odds have these fighters as even at this point but you have to wonder if fighting in his hometown of Quebec City will give Cote an edge. Hometown boy Cote will be amped up for sure but he has not fought in a year and may have to control that emotion early. He has won 6 of his last 7 fights and hasn’t lost not via a decision since 2010. He gives you a good fight almost every time out. 

Noke hasn’t fought in even longer and though he won his last fight impressively in just 45 second he lost the two fights before that. With such rusty fighters the first round might be a little boring as they feel each other out.  The odds on this one are Kyle Noke at -120 and Patrick Cote at +120.  It may not be the headlining fight but given how close the oddsmakers are making this matchup and the fact that Cote will appeal to the home crowd this may be the best fight on the card. If you are looking to grab some value on an upset this is probably your best bet.

Another close fight should be between Sam Stout and KJ Noons, a couple of lightweights.  Stout calls himself “Hand of Stone” but that is a bit ironic given that he has not knocked anybody out since 2011 and among his wins there are more by submission and decision than by  knockout. He has split his last 6 fights going the distance in 5 of them. If you go back even further only one of his last 13 fights has not gone at least 3 rounds so making a wager on the number of rounds (over/under) might be worth considering depending on what kind of odds and value you are getting. Not all books offers those odds so you may have to shop around.

Noons hasn’t been much of a “King” lately with losses in 5 of his last 7 fights. He won his last one against George Sotiropoulos but the last time he won back to back fight was in 2010. The taller Noons might have a reach advantage but Stout is another Canadian fighter on the card so the crowd will be behind his opponent even though this matchup is outside of the Australia vs. Canada Nations Finale.   The odds have Stout as a slight favourite at -125. Noons is -105.

Being undefeated can be as much about who you fought as how good you are but I still like looking at the fighters on each card that have yet to lose. There are three such fighters on this card including two that are going head to head. The first is Elias Theodorou. The Canadian fighter has worked his through the Nations Finale middleweight bracket and will be fighting a fellow countryman in Sheldon Wescott.

The other two undefeated fighters meet in the final of the welterweight Nations finale and again they are both Canadian. Olivier Aubin-Mercier and Chad Laprise are hardly household names but one of them is going to walk away with this championship and a still perfect record.  This will be an interesting technical battle. Laprise wins most of his fights by knockout while Aubin-Mercier has only won by submission. Also, both of these guys fights tends to over quickly. 9 of their 11 combines fights were over before the end of the first round.

If you like women’s MMA than this card has something for you too with Sarah Kaufmann squaring off against Leslie Smith. Kaufmann has just two losses over career and the only fighter to beat her since 2010 is Ronda Rousey.  Smith, has not enjoyed a ton success with a record of just 6-4 but at 5’9” she has a significant height advantage in this fight. These two fought back in January of 2013 with Kaufmann getting the split decision victory.  Kaufmann is a pretty big favourite with the odds being released at -270. Since that time they have come down to -240 but that move is not necessarily indicative of a huge change on how people are really viewing the fight.


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