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MMA Betting: UFC Fight Night Matt Brown vs Erick Silva

Posted by The Wiesguy on 5/5/2014 9:57:12 PM

UFC Fight Night Brown vs. Silva or UFC Fight Night 40 is coming up this weekend on Saturday May 10 at U.S. Bank Arena in Cincinnati, Ohio. The title bout is a welterweight clash between Matt Brown and Erick Silva. It is being broadcast on Fox Sports 1 so no need to dive into the pay-per-view kitty.

Matt Brown has the nickname “The Immortal” but he is far from that with a record of just 18-11 coming into this fight. He has won his last 6 bouts but lost 4 of 5 before that so it is hard to know which fighter we are going to see, especially because it has been 9 months since his last fight, a first round knockout in less than 30 seconds. Brown is the decided underdog in this one coming off at +190.

Erick Silva started his fight career with just one loss in his first 15 bouts but since then has been inconsistent. Indio has been alternating win and losses over his last 6 fights and if the pattern holds he is due to fall in this one. He is the younger fighter and he should be more tuned up given that he fought back in February, beating Takenori Sato. Silva is -225. The round total on this one is set low at 1.5. Both of these fighter have been known to polish off their opponents quickly.

The first fight of the night features the only undefeated fighter on the main card - Louis Smolka.  Smolka aka “Da Last Samurai” is 7-0 and there is not much of a book on him yet given that he has spread out his wins by KO, submission and decision. It is always fun watching flyweights zip around the ring and this young fighter is coming off his closest contest to date with a unanimous decision win over Alpetin Ozkilic at Fight Night Rockhold vs. Phillipou. Smolka is a slight favourite at -140.

His opponent is Chris Cariaso, who could be at an extreme disadvantage giving up 6 inches in height to Smolka. Cariaso has a solid career record of 16-5 but two of those losses were in his last 4 fights. He is more on the savvy side of fighters with the bulk of his wins coming via decision. Odds are he will look to try and capitalize on any signs of impatience from Smolka. He is +120.

Looking at the odds, the rest of the card is not expected to produce any great matchups as all of the favourites are in the -200 range with the greatest favourite being Erik Koch. He and opponent Darron Cruickshank have very similar records but Koch is currently -330, with the round total set at 2.5. Soa Palelei is only -210 but with the round total set at 1.5 it appears that they expect him to make quick work of Ruan Potts. It is easy to see why, at 265 pounds Palelei has earned the nickname “The Hulk”.


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