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UFC on Fox: Henderson vs. Thomson

Posted by on 1/21/2014 8:26:16 PM

There is another big UFC card on public television this weekend as Fox Sports One presents Henderson vs. Thomson live from Chicago, Illinois. With these events on Fox we are able to ejoy fights more often and more cheaply than ever before.  These “free” shows are not always of the highest calibre but if you like fights you like fights right.

As the title suggests the main event for this one is Benson Henderson vs. Josh Thomson. Benson Henderson might sound like a butler’s name but this lightweight goes by the nickname “Smooth”. More of a technician than a brawler he comes into this fight with a record of 19-3 and the majority of his wins are by decision or submission. Josh Thomson is bigger and older though he goes by the moniker “The Punk”. He has more wins and knockouts to his credit, in part because he comes from a kick-boxing background. Since 2007 Henderson has lost to only one fighter, Anthony Pettis, who made him submit in his last tussle in August. This fight seems pretty evenly matched and when you look at the odds you see exactly the same thing as both fighters are -115 to win the bout. Those were the odds when the lines opened but he market has moved to make Henderson a pretty decisive favourite.

If you are a fan of the the heavyweights than you are probably interested in Gabriel Gonzaga against Stipe Miocic. Miocic has only lost one UFC bout but he is giving up 20 pounds to the much more experienced Brazilian fighter. That loss was to Stefan Struve, the man they call the Human Skyscraper because he is 7 feet tall. Gonzaga is well seasoned and his fights don’t often last very long - all of his last 4 fights have less than a 1:33 including a KO of Dave Herman in just 17 seconds two fights ago. For this bout Miocic opened as the favourite @ +300 but betting and opinion have lowered the odds so that he is only -260 in most books.

There is only one undefeated fighter on this card and that is Sergio “The Phenom” Pettis, a bantamweight from Milwaukee, who is 10-0. He is locked up with Alex Caceres who has the nickname “Bruce Leeroy” which I don’t get but may be an alter ego that goes along with one of the best afros in the sport. Caceres’ record is nothing special and as recently as March of last year he failed a drug test resulting in a no contest.  

Betting on fights is always tricky and on this card many of the fighters are unknown to the point that there are no lines being set. In team sports when I am in doubt I will often go with the underdog but that is not necessarily a smart play in the fight game where outclassed fighters often don’t get any time to execute game changing strategies. Be careful unless you really understand different fighter and how their styles matchup.

For all your UFC odds click here.


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