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MMA Betting: UFC On FOX: Gustafsson vs Johnson Main Card Preview

Posted by The Wiesguy on 1/15/2015 9:22:02 PM

The next UFC Fight Night on Fox will be on Saturday January 24, live from Stockholm, Sweden. When UFC hits the road they almost always feature local fighters so it is no surprise that for this card they are using local Alexander Gustafson in the main event against Anthony Johnson in a light heavyweight tilt.

The main event of this card should be a treat as Gustafson and Johnson are ranked in the top five in their weight class. Gustafson is at #2 and has lost only lost two pro bouts (most recently to Jon Jones on 2013). He may look a little soft but he is very long at 6’4” and will make it tough for Johnson to get close to him. Johnson has won his last eight bouts and is looking to climb the rankings. It has been a while since either of these guys were in the octagon with Johnson having the more recent fight in July of last year. Gustafson is the decided favourite right now at -211 but Johnson could be a little sharper.

In the second to last bout of the night we will see two very familiar faces with Gegard Mousasi taking on Dan Henderson. Both have 30 victories (or more) to their credit and will be looking to prove a point. For Mousasi he is looking for some UFC success to match what he has achieved on other circuits. For Henderson, at age 44, he is looking to prove that he still has it - he has lost four of his last five bouts. The younger Mousasi is the prohibitive favourite at -300. It is hard to argue with that.

The most even fight on the card looks to be Sam Sicilia vs. Akira Corrasini. Corrasini is the favourite at -134 but he has lost half of his last six bouts (including the last two) which hardly inspires much confidence. Things are about the same in the Sicilia camp where the American has lost four of his last six. Under these kinds of circumstances it is usually best to go with the fighter that has the better payoff and that would be Sicilia at -105.

In the light heavyweight division we get Mr. Wonderful, Phil Davis taking on Ryan “Darth” Bader. Both are experienced fighters with Bader showing better recent form with three straight wins. That makes him an intriguing underdog at +180. Both of these fighter’s bouts tend to go the distance so we should get our money’s worth in this one. Between the two their last seven fights have been decisions. When you don’t knock a guy down or out the underdog always has more of a chance.

The only undefeated fighters on the card are fighting in the first two bouts with Chris Beal taking on Neil Seery and Mirsan Bektic taking on Paul Redmond. Beal and Bektic are a combined 18-0 and even though there are no odds currently posted they are expected to continue their early career winning streaks.


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