College Football Playoff Odds Update for November 8, 2019

The first College Football Playoff rankings were released on Tuesday, giving teams an indication of where they currently sat in the eyes of the Selection Committee. That led to some moderate shifts in the most recent CFP betting odds with a new favorite emerging. Ohio State was the No. 1 team in the first rankings, and that led to the odds on the Buckeyes to drop below those of both Alabama and Clemson.

ODDS TO WIN THE COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFFS

Team	10/11 Odds	10/18 Odds	10/25 Odds	11/1 Odds	11/8 Odds
Alabama	+275	+250	+300	+275	+275
Clemson	+275	+250	+300	+300	+350
Ohio State	+500	+500	+350	+300	+250
LSU	+700	+550	+500	+450	+375
Georgia	+700	+1400	+1400	+1200	+1000
Oklahoma	+800	+600	+600	+2000	+2000
Penn State	+3300	+3300	+2000	+2000	+1800
Oregon	+5000	+5000	+3300	+2000	+3300
Utah	+5000	+6600	+6600	+5000	+5000
Baylor	+12500	+10000	+8000	+6600	+10000

Alabama is out to move up from No. 3 in the CFP rankings, and the Crimson Tide will get a chance to possibly surpass Ohio State with a win over No. 2 LSU in Tuscaloosa. This game is the most anticipated tilt of the season to this point, and Alabama is currently -5.5 against LSU per the most recent college football betting line.

Nick Saban announced earlier this week that he expects star quarterback Tua Tagovailoa to play against LSU. That’s huge since Mac Jones is a significant downgrade from Tagovailoa, but we have no idea how close to 100 percent Tagovailoa will be on Saturday afternoon. He is dealing with a high ankle sprain, and he needs to be at least somewhat mobile to keep LSU off balance.

Some have speculated that this game could be a must-win for Alabama. The Crimson Tide’s best victory to date is over Texas A&M, and if they don’t beat LSU, their only remaining quality opponent is Auburn. They don’t have the strength of schedule they usually do thanks to a very soft non-conference slate, so they will need some help from others to make the CFP if they lose to LSU for the first time since 2011.

However, LSU can probably afford a loss to Alabama due to its fantastic strength of schedule. The Tigers have impressive victories over Texas, Florida, and Auburn to their credit, and they are playing the Crimson Tide on the road.

The Bayou Bengals have the current favorite to win the Heisman Trophy in Joe Burrow, and the LSU signal caller’s play gives the Tigers the best chance of beating Alabama they have had in some time. We have seen LSU’s odds drop from +700 to +375 over the last month as more people are believing in the Tigers, and a win over Alabama on Saturday would make them the favorite to win the national championship.

Ohio State has been extremely impressive this season. The Buckeyes have thrashed all eight of their opponents, and that has led to this team becoming the favorite to win the national championship. They have nice wins over Cincinnati and Wisconsin, but their two toughest opponents are still to come.

The Buckeyes will play Penn State and Michigan in back-to-back weeks to end the regular season, and that will determine their chances to make the CFP. The Nittany Lions could beat out Ohio State for a spot in the Big Ten Championship Game with a win over the Buckeyes, so Ohio State can’t afford a loss. They also can’t afford to lose Justin Fields either as the quarterback depth is non-existent behind Fields.

Clemson is in an interesting position. The Tigers are the defending national champions, and they are undefeated with the longest winning streak in the nation, but they were No. 4 in the initial CFP due to the strength of the ACC.

The ACC is having an awful season. Wake Forest is the only other ranked team in the conference, as every other team in the ACC has at least three losses. Clemson is expected to cruise to wins in its final three games and in the ACC Championship Game, but if the Tigers slip up, they could be in real trouble.

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