Best Bets to Win the 2020 Safeway Open
The top golfers in the world won’t be taking part in this week’s Safeway Open. The Tour Championship was last week, deciding the FedEx Cup winner, and everyone that played in that event is taking the week off after the grind of the playoffs. Dustin Johnson made $15 million by securing a three-shot victory in Atlanta, but there will be considerably less at stake this week in wine country. However, the lack of the elite golfers means that this tournament is wide open. The shortest odds on any golfer are 20-1, guaranteeing a great payout if you can pick the winner of the Safeway Open.
Event: Safeway Open
Category: PGA Tour
Date: September 10-13, 2020
Location: Silverado Country Club, Napa, California
Past Five Winners
2019: Cameron Champ -17
2018: Kevin Tway -14
2017: Brendan Steele -15
2016: Brendan Steele -18
2015: Emiliano Grillo -15
Brendan Steele is the only player to win here more than once, and he claimed back-to-back titles in 2016 and 2017. However, due to where this tournament falls in the PGA Tour schedule, there aren’t many familiar names among the previous winners. The winner of this event has finished with a score of at least -14 every year since its inception.
This week’s tournament will be held at the north course of the Silverado Country Club. The course is a short par-72, so we should see a lot of low numbers on the scorecards. There isn’t a real elevation change at Silverado, and golfers can see where they are hitting on every hole. Heat could be a real concern though as the temperature is forecast to hit the high 90s.
Value Play to Win the Event: Brendan Steele +2200
Steele is a California native that is the only two-time winner of this event. He beat Tony Finau by two strokes in 2017 and tied the course record by shooting 18-under in 2016. His last two trips to this course haven’t gone smoothly with both finishes falling outside of the top 50, and only two of his eight rounds the last two years were 70 or under. Steele failed to win an event last year, but he was close with a runner-up finish at the Sony Open, a T4 finish at the Honda Classic, and a T6 at the Travelers Championship.
Top 5 Prop: Phil Mickelson +450
Lefty only started playing this course in 2017, but his first two trips to Napa Valley were rewarding. Mickelson finished 8th at the 2017 Safeway Open, and he followed that up with a 3rd place finish in 2018. He was in line for a nice finish in 2019 before shooting +2 over the weekend, and he missed the cut in 2020. That missed cut has led to increased odds on Mickelson to post a top five finish this weekend.