Best Bets for Week 4 NCAAF: Which Games to Target
Week 4 consists of some key conference matchups along with important games for schools who
still want to be a playoff contender. As the week goes there will be some betting value available
but for now we’re going to target a handful of games, while the spreads are big, we feel these
teams should cover.
Penn State (-49) vs. Kent State
OK, normally it’s not smart to lay 7 touchdowns but consider this; Kent State gave up 65 points
to Tennessee last week, IN THE FIRST HALF! The final score was 71-0. The Golden Flashes
also lost to an FCS team giving up 55 points to Pittsburgh. Penn State has just scored 34
points in each of their first two games but shouldn’t have a problem running up the scoreline
Saturday. The Nittany Lions need an offensive outburst before conference play, and coming off
a bye week, Kent State is the perfect prey.
Miami-OH vs Notre Dame (-27)
After that upset loss to Northern Illinois, Notre Dame knows what it needs to do, hammer teams
by big margins. Miami-Ohio has scored just 11 points a game in losses to Northwestern and
Cincinnati and allowed 182 rushing yards per game. The Irish should be able to find big holes
in the ground attack while the defense will look to create a couple of turnovers. All this leads to
the Irish winning big and covering the spread. In the last meeting Notre Dame beat Miami OH
52-17 back in 2017.
UCLA vs LSU (-23)
The Tigers are coming off a huge win at South Carolina and need to get on a bit of a roll with a
2-1 record. LSU is 9-2 against the spread as home favorites under Brian Kelly and face a UCLA
team that hasn’t fared well losing last week 42-13 to Indiana. The Bruins ground game has
been paltry at best just 3.5 yards a carry while quarterback Ethan Garbers is completing just
54% of his passes. LSU should be able to put up points with ease and should cover.
South Carolina (-27) vs. Akron
The Gamecocks deserved better last week losing a heartbreaker to LSU. But expect them to
rebound in a big way. South Carolina has a bye after this game and wants to go into the break
feeling good. No better way than pummeling Akron. The Gamecocks already beat Kentucky by
25 this season. As for Akron, they gave up 52 points to Ohio State and 49 points to Rutgers. If Rutgers can beat Akron by 32, South Carolina likely wins by even