Cincinnati Bearcats at UCF Knights Betting Preview

To be the man, you have to beat the man, and Cincinnati needs to beat UCF to prove that they are indeed the best team in the AAC. The Bearcats certainly look the part through their first seven games. They are 7-0, and they have defeated all their opponents by at least 14 points. No team has scored more than 20 points against Cincinnati to date, but the Knights will almost certainly score more than 20 points in Orlando on Saturday.

This game will take place on Saturday, November 21, at 3:30 p.m. ET with ESPN broadcasting.

College Football Betting Odds

Cincinnati -4.5

UCF +4.5

Total 65.5

There has been considerable line movement in this game since the spread was released on Sunday afternoon. Cincinnati was initially a three-point favorite, and the Bearcats moved all the way up to -6.5 before falling back down as of Friday evening.

UCF Offense vs. Cincinnati Defense

Dillon Gabriel has had a great sophomore season. Gabriel is completing 63.3 percent of his passes for over 2,700 yards with 23 touchdowns and two interceptions. His production has been impressive considering Gabriel Davis is now in the NFL and Tre Nixon has been injured for much of the year. Nixon broke his collarbone in the first half of the season opener against Georgia Tech, but he might return tomorrow. He caught four passes for 94 yards and two touchdowns against the Yellow Jackets.

Marlon Williams has played very well as the No. 1 receiver in this offense. Williams has 63 receptions for 942 yards and eight touchdowns in seven games, and he has had at least 87 yards receiving in every game. Jaylon Robinson has had a very good season too, averaging 20.0 YPR.

The ground game remains as dominant as ever with three different running backs averaging at least 5.0 YPC. That’s one of the reasons why this offense is ranked seventh in SP+.

Cincinnati has the most difficult defense that UCF has faced this season. The Bearcats rank sixth in defensive SP+, and they are allowing just 4.0 yards per play (second-best in the nation). They held UCF to just 24 points last year, and this defense is even better.

Cincinnati Offense vs. UCF Defense

Desmond Ridder is having the best season of his career. He is completing two-thirds of his passes for 8.1 YPA with 14 touchdowns against six interceptions. That has given the Bearcats a new dynamic, as they can rely on a competent passing game in conjunction with a solid ground game and a great defense.

Cincinnati is averaging 6.5 YPC. Ridder is a big part of that with 8.8 YPC before sack yards, and his mobility gives this offense a big boost. Gerrid Doaks leads the team with 563 yards (5.2 YPC) and seven touchdowns, and they could have success against a UCF defense allowing 4.2 YPC.

There is no superstar receiver on the Bearcats with no player tallying more than 270 receiving yards. However, Randy Shannon’s defense has given up a lot of passing yards this season, especially in the second half. That’s something to keep in mind during live betting for this game.

Prediction

The over is a tempting bet, but UCF is the better choice. The Knights didn’t show much last week against Temple, and they had the previous week off.Follow our Twitter account for the latest sports news and wagering odds, and come to our Instagram

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