College Football Playoff Odds Update for 11/15/19

There are only five unbeaten teams left in the country with only a few more regular season games remaining before conference championships kick off in early December. Minnesota and Baylor are still undefeated, but the Bears and Golden Gophers remain longshots to win the national championship per the latest CFP betting odds. Clemson, Ohio State, and LSU are the runaway favorites as the last three undefeated power programs, and each team could likely sustain one loss and still make the CFP provided the loss wasn’t in the conference title game.

Odds to Win the College Football Playoffs

Team 10/18 Odds 10/25 Odds 11/1 Odds 11/8 Odds 11/15 Odds
Alabama +250 +300 +275 +275 +900
Clemson +250 +300 +300 +350 +300
Ohio State +500 +350 +300 +250 +200
LSU +550 +500 +450 +375 +250
Georgia +1400 +1400 +1200 +1000 +800
Oklahoma +600 +600 +2000 +2000 +2000
Penn State +3300 +2000 +2000 +1800 +8000
Oregon +5000 +3300 +2000 +3300 +2200
Utah +6600 +6600 +5000 +5000 +5000
Baylor +10000 +8000 +6600 +10000 +10000
Minnesota +15000 +12500 +10000 +10000 +5000

College Gameday will be in Waco this week when Baylor hosts Oklahoma in a quasi-elimination game. The Bears and Sooners have been the top two teams in the Big 12 this season, but a loss for either team would ruin their national championship dreams.

Oklahoma’s loss to Kansas State a few weeks ago means that the Sooners can’t afford another loss after playing a subpar non-conference slate. The Selection Committee has not given the Sooners the benefit of the doubt in the CFP Rankings released thus far with Oklahoma rated as the sixth best one-loss team in the country, while Baylor is ranked No. 13 despite being 9-0.

Neither Baylor nor Oklahoma were impressive last week in their wins as the Bears needed triple overtime to knock off TCU, while the Sooners nearly blew a three touchdown second half lead in a 42-41 win over 5-4 Iowa State. Oklahoma is a double-digit favorite in Waco this Saturday because the Sooners have the best offense in the country, but the defense could let them down once again.

Week 12’s other marquee game is the Deep South’s Oldest Rivalry. Georgia and Auburn have one of the most intense non-divisional rivalries in the nation, and the Tigers could deal the Bulldogs a fatal blow in their bid to win their first national title in almost four decades.

Georgia is favored by three points on the road in Jordan-Hare Stadium this Saturday, but the Bulldogs lost to the Tigers the last time these teams met at this stadium. However, Georgia has won five of the last six games in this series, including the rematch between these teams in the 2017 SEC Championship Game.

An Auburn win would be great for Oregon. The Ducks lost to the Tigers in the first week of the season, and Oregon’s resume takes a hit with each Auburn loss. Auburn has already lost to Florida and LSU this year, and Gus Malzahn knows he probably has another loss coming with the Iron Bowl at the end of the month.

Minnesota has emerged as a legitimate contender after its win over Penn State in the Twin Cities last week, but the Golden Gophers face a tough road test this week. They will head south to take on Iowa, and the Golden Gophers are double-digit underdogs per the college football betting odds.

The Hawkeyes are one of the best 6-3 teams in the country, and they nearly beat Wisconsin last week. Iowa’s three losses were to Michigan, Penn State, and Wisconsin by a combined 14 points, and this defense does not allow the big plays that are such an integral part of Minnesota’s offense. Iowa’s defense is fifth in the nation in explosive plays allowed, so Minnesota could be in major trouble on Saturday.

It would be a surprise if any of the first four teams on this list lost this week. Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, and LSU are all massive favorites, and the Crimson Tide are the shortest favorite at -18.5 on the road against Mississippi State. That means the odds for these teams are likely to fall slightly next week provided they don’t suffer any major injuries as other contenders move into the background.

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