FRIDAY AFTERNOON QUARTERBACK: NFL WEEK 11

BY ADAM GREENE

Not only did I get back on the plus side with my picks last week both straight up and against the spread, but I also started this week off with the rare Thursday Night Football victory.

For the first time since September I took a solid dub as the Seattle Seahawks downed the Arizona Cardinals 28-21. And while my score prediction didn’t hit it exactly, I did get the spread and the under, thanks to Carlos Dunlap sacking Kyler Murray on a fourth down with less than a minute to go. That’s as good a start to the week’s NFL action as anyone could hope for.

Still, I have 11 mid-day Sunday games to pick and plenty of opportunities to ruin everything.


As for the TNF game, Russell Wilson didn’t do much to reignite his MVP campaign, throwing for 197 yards and two scores. Murray was decent, with 269 yards through the air and a couple of touchdowns of his own.

Byes: Buffalo Bills, Chicago Bears, New York Giants, San Francisco 49ers

PHILADELPHIA EAGLES AT CLEVELAND BROWNS (-3. O/U: 47.5)

Alright, Browns. I have picked against you of late because, well, you’re the Browns and I’ve been burned before. But you won last week, a game you should have flopped in, and you gutted out. What I’m saying is, I’m ready to be hurt again. Don’t make me regret it. Browns 24, Eagles 20

ATLANTA FALCONS AT NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-4, O/U: 52)

The last time Saints starting quarterback Jameis Winston played Atlanta, he threw two interceptions including the game clincher that was returned for a touchdown in overtime. Four points is a lot is what I’m saying. In fact, I’m saying it’s completely wrong. Falcons 26, Saints 24

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS AT HOUSTON TEXANS (+1, O/U: 49)

All the Texans can do right now is spoil a team like New England’s chances at sneaking into the Wild Card conversation. All the Pats can do right now is keep Bill Belichick a factor in the AFC playoff race, which no one wants. So we all know what’s going to happen. Patriots 20, Texans 17

PITTSBURGH STEELERS AT JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS (+10.5, O/U: 46)

Before you start thinking about plunking cash on Steelers at -10.5, understand that Pittsburgh has never met an inferior team it didn’t do everything in its power to play down to. Still, I can envision this being the game where Jake Luton’s wheels come off like an F1 racer running over a spike strip. Steelers 35, Jaguars 13

CINCINNATI BENGALS AT WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM (-1, O/U: 47)

WFT QB Alex Smith has thrown for 715 yards over the last two weeks and still lost both games. I think Cincy rookie Joe Burrow will make it three. Bengals 31, WFT 28

DETROIT LIONS AT CAROLINA PANTHERS (no line available)

The line on this is being held up because we once again don’t know Matthew Stafford’s status as he’s dealing with a thumb injury. If that wasn’t bad enough his wife just made national news by calling Michigan a “dictatorship” for their efforts to keep people from dying from the coronavirus. For his sake, I hope the injury’s not so bad, because this would be a good week for Matt to get out of the house. As usual, I have two picks; with Stafford and without. With Stafford: Panthers 23, Lions 20. Without Stafford: Panthers 34, Lions 10

TENNESSEE TITANS AT BALTIMORE RAVENS (-5, O/U: 49.5)

I realize the Titans have hit a slump, but I still don’t get this line. Tennessee is the team that completely shut down Baltimore in the playoffs last season with pretty much this same roster. Considering the Ravens are basically running the four plays from the old NES Tecmo Bowl, I don’t see how this one will be any different. Titans 31, Ravens 20

MIAMI DOLPHINS AT DENVER BRONCOS (+3.5, O/U: 45)

Miami is primed for an AFC playoff spot and if they continue playing teams like Denver, they’ll keep it. Dolphins 33, Broncos 23

NEW YORK JETS AT LOS ANGELES CHARGERS (-9.5, O/U: 46)

This week Justin Herbert let the Chargers’ strength coach break out the weed whacker and completely ruin his life like a second grader who got gum in his hair right before picture day. I understand the temptation, but you’re a million dollar athlete. You can’t let some guy who just busted his knuckles on a lat machine near your head with anything sharp. This is the same training staff that stabbed Tyrod Taylor in the lung with a lawn dart two weeks into the season. I too am rocking some flowing COVID locks these days and even had to get some info from a female friend as to how to manage it. Who knew you could purchase separate conditioner in its own bottle? We truly live in the future. Keep your jetpacks and hover boards, my hair is luxurious now and I smell like a princess. As for this game, I like LA, but don’t like the line with Joe Flacco starting off a bye for New York. Chargers 24, Jets 17

GREEN BAY PACKERS AT INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (-1, O/U: 51)

It’s an odd number week and until they prove otherwise, that’s a guaranteed Colts loss against a good team. Packers 27, Colts 23

DALLAS COWBOYS AT MINNESOTA VIKINGS (-7, O/U: 47.5)

If the Cowboys were coached by anyone other than Mike McCarthy, I would think this is just the type of game Minnesota would blow after getting their season almost back on track. Lucky for them McCarthy’s future job as the assistant to the regional manager of a group of Iowa Five Guys franchises is at least a year away. Vikings 38, Cowboys 10

THIS WEEK

Straight up: 1-0

Against the spread: 1-0

LAST WEEK

Straight up: 8-6

Against the spread: 9-5

SEASON

Straight up: 97-48-1

Against the spread: 75-71

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